Independiente del Valle - LDU de Quito: our prediction
10/12/2025•23:00
Independiente del Valle
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
LDU de Quito
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1
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X
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2
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito Preview — Serie A Championship Group
Match between Independiente del Valle and LDU de Quito in the Serie A Championship Group. Independiente is favorite at home with odds of 1.88, but LDU has better victory statistics (70% vs 50%). Both teams score in 50% of Independiente's games and 40% for LDU. Over 2.5 goals in 60% of games for both teams.
Our Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito predictions
Victory of LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito shows a win rate of 70% in their last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Independiente del Valle. Despite Independiente's home advantage, LDU's recent form and defensive solidity (6 clean sheets in 10 matches) suggest they can win. The odds of 3.48 offer good value.
3.48
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 goals
Both teams have exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. Independiente del Valle has a productive attack (9 matches with over 1.5 goals) and LDU de Quito has scored in all recent matches. This offensive trend supports the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Both teams to score
Independiente del Valle had both teams score in 50% of their last 10 matches, while LDU de Quito in 40%. The offensive statistics of both teams (Independiente scored in 90% of matches, LDU in 100%) and sometimes fragile defenses suggest a moderate chance that both teams will score.
1.67
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Djorkaeff Reasco | 75% (3/4) | 75% (3/4) | Deyverson |
| Carlos Gonzalez | 50% (2/4) | 67% (2/3) | Fernando Cornejo |
| Junior Sornoza | 67% (2/3) | 25% (1/4) | Michael Estrada |
| Emerson Pata | 50% (2/4) | 25% (1/4) | Yerlin Quinonez |
| Ronald Briones | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Rodney Redes |
| Mateo Carabajal | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Darwin Guagua | 33% (1/3) | ||
| Youri Ochoa | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Matias Perello | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Justin Lerma | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Gonzalez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Deyverson |
| Emerson Pata | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Fernando Cornejo |
| Djorkaeff Reasco | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Yerlin Quinonez |
| Junior Sornoza | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Rodney Redes |
| Youri Ochoa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Michael Estrada |
| Darwin Guagua | ⚽1 | ||
| Justin Lerma | ⚽1 | ||
| Mateo Carabajal | ⚽1 | ||
| Matias Perello | ⚽1 | ||
| Ronald Briones | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 3.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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