Emelec - El Nacional: our prediction
16/12/2025•01:00
Emelec
5:0
(1:0)
Finished
El Nacional
-
1
-
X
-
2
Emelec vs El Nacional Preview — Serie A Placement Group
Emelec hosts El Nacional in the Serie A Placement Group. El Nacional is slightly favored by bookmakers, with odds at 1.94. Both teams have a mixed record in their last 10 matches (3 wins, 5 losses, 2 draws). Emelec's home defense seems solid (5 clean sheets in 10), but their attack struggles (less than 1.5 goals per match). El Nacional displays a more dangerous attack (over 1.5 goals in all recent matches) but a vulnerable defense (only 1 clean sheet). No information on potential absences of key players.
Our Emelec vs El Nacional predictions
Emelec - Under 1.5 goals
Emelec has not scored more than one goal in its last 10 matches (0 times over 1.5 goals). Its attack is limited, with only 3 wins and a low goal average. Facing a vulnerable El Nacional defense but as a home team that may be cautious, Emelec is likely to score at most 1 goal. No known absences should change this dynamic.
1.1
Confidence
Very high
Over 1.5 goals in the match
El Nacional has achieved over 1.5 goals in 100% of its last 10 matches, and Emelec in 50% of its matches. El Nacional's offensive statistics are very strong, while Emelec can contribute to the score. The match should see at least 2 goals, especially since El Nacional has a vulnerable defense (only 1 clean sheet). No information on absences.
1.17
Confidence
Very high
El Nacional to Win
El Nacional is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.94). Over the last 10 matches, both teams have a similar record (3 wins), but El Nacional displays a more consistent attack (over 1.5 goals in 100% of its matches) and has won 30% of its recent matches as favorite. Emelec at home has a solid defense (5 clean sheets) but a limited attack (less than 1.5 goals per match). No major absences known.
2.72
Confidence
High
Market signals on Emelec vs El Nacional
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Emelec vs El Nacional Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 43% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 40% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 70% 30% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Klimowicz | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ||
| Jose Cevallos | ⚽1 | ||
| Luis Fragozo | ⚽1 | ||
| Stalin Valencia | ⚽1 | ||
| Sergio Quintero | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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