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Arsenal - Crystal Palace: our prediction

23/12/2025•21:00

Arsenal

1:1

(0:0)

Finished AP

8 tab 7

Crystal Palace

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Preview — EFL Cup

Arsenal, with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, hosts Crystal Palace, a less performing away team. Recent statistics and the low odds for an Arsenal win (1.5) make them the logical favorite. A match with several goals is likely, as both teams have offensive tendencies.

Our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace predictions

Arsenal scores over 1.5 goals

Arsenal has scored more than 1 goal in 70% of its last 10 matches (indicator 'parou15'). At home, with scorers like Saka (3 goals), Trossard (3 goals), and Merino (4 goals), against a Crystal Palace defense that has kept only 4 clean sheets in 10, Arsenal's team has a strong chance of scoring at least 2 goals.

1.58

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, Arsenal had over 2.5 goals in 70% of cases, Crystal Palace also in 70%. Both teams score regularly (Arsenal: 6/10 with BTS, Crystal Palace: 5/10). With a prolific Arsenal attack and a sometimes fragile Palace defense (only 4 clean sheets), a match with over 2 goals is very likely.

1.73

Confidence

High

Arsenal Victory

Arsenal has won 7 of its last 10 matches and does not lose when favored (9/10). At home, with a performing attack (Bukayo Saka, Leandro Trossard) and a solid defense (4 clean sheets in 10), against a less convincing Crystal Palace away (1 win as an outsider in 2 games), the home team's victory is the most likely scenario.

1.5

Confidence

High

Market signals on Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Arsenal	Crystal Palace
Win	7 2 1	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	90%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	80%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	33%
Win by being a favorite	70%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	50% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	30%
2nd half	70%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	30% (3/10)	40% (4/10)	Ismaila Sarr
Bukayo Saka	22% (2/9)	30% (3/10)	Jean-Philippe Mateta
Kai Havertz	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Joergen Strand Larsen
Gabriel Jesus	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Daniel Munoz
Leandro Trossard	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Adam Wharton
Noni Madueke	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Daichi Kamada
Eberechi Eze	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Ismaila Sarr
Kai Havertz	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Jean-Philippe Mateta
Bukayo Saka	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Daichi Kamada
Eberechi Eze	⚽1	⚽1	Daniel Munoz
Leandro Trossard	⚽1	⚽1	Adam Wharton
Gabriel Jesus	⚽1	⚽1	Joergen Strand Larsen
Noni Madueke	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	40%	70%
Over corners 7.5	30%	70%
Over corners 8.5	20%	60%
Over corners 9.5	20%	50%
Over corners 10.5	20%	30%
Over corners 11.5	10%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	90%
Over corners 3.5	60%	80%
Over corners 4.5	40%	40%
Over corners 5.5	30%	20%
Over corners 6.5	20%	20%

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