Arsenal - Crystal Palace: our prediction
23/12/2025•21:00
Arsenal
1:1
(0:0)
Finished AP
8 tab 7
Crystal Palace
-
1
-
X
-
2
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Preview — EFL Cup
Arsenal, with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, hosts Crystal Palace, a less performing away team. Recent statistics and the low odds for an Arsenal win (1.5) make them the logical favorite. A match with several goals is likely, as both teams have offensive tendencies.
Our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace predictions
Arsenal scores over 1.5 goals
Arsenal has scored more than 1 goal in 70% of its last 10 matches (indicator 'parou15'). At home, with scorers like Saka (3 goals), Trossard (3 goals), and Merino (4 goals), against a Crystal Palace defense that has kept only 4 clean sheets in 10, Arsenal's team has a strong chance of scoring at least 2 goals.
1.58
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Arsenal had over 2.5 goals in 70% of cases, Crystal Palace also in 70%. Both teams score regularly (Arsenal: 6/10 with BTS, Crystal Palace: 5/10). With a prolific Arsenal attack and a sometimes fragile Palace defense (only 4 clean sheets), a match with over 2 goals is very likely.
1.73
Confidence
High
Arsenal Victory
Arsenal has won 7 of its last 10 matches and does not lose when favored (9/10). At home, with a performing attack (Bukayo Saka, Leandro Trossard) and a solid defense (4 clean sheets in 10), against a less convincing Crystal Palace away (1 win as an outsider in 2 games), the home team's victory is the most likely scenario.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 2 1 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 80% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 70% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 30% |
2nd half | 70% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyoekeres | 30% (3/10) | 40% (4/10) | Ismaila Sarr |
| Bukayo Saka | 22% (2/9) | 30% (3/10) | Jean-Philippe Mateta |
| Kai Havertz | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Joergen Strand Larsen |
| Gabriel Jesus | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Daniel Munoz |
| Leandro Trossard | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Adam Wharton |
| Noni Madueke | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Daichi Kamada |
| Eberechi Eze | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyoekeres | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Ismaila Sarr |
| Kai Havertz | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jean-Philippe Mateta |
| Bukayo Saka | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Daichi Kamada |
| Eberechi Eze | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Daniel Munoz |
| Leandro Trossard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Adam Wharton |
| Gabriel Jesus | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joergen Strand Larsen |
| Noni Madueke | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
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