Defensor Sporting - Nacional: our prediction
09/11/2025•20:30
Defensor Sporting
1:1
(1:0)
Finished
Nacional
-
1
-
X
-
2
Defensor Sporting vs Nacional Preview — Liga AUF Uruguaya Clausura
Defensor Sporting hosts Nacional at home. Nacional is the favorite with odds of 1.75, having won 6 of their last 10 games without loss. Defensor Sporting has a mixed record with 4 wins in 10 games. Both teams score in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals are scored in 60% of Nacional's matches.
Our Defensor Sporting vs Nacional predictions
Victory of Nacional
Nacional is unbeaten in 10 games (6 wins, 4 draws) and shows a strong attack with 60% of matches over 2.5 goals. Defensor Sporting has a fragile home defense with only 2 clean sheets in 10 games.
1.78
Confidence
High
Draw
Nacional conceded 4 draws in their last 10 games, while Defensor Sporting showed home resistance with 40% of matches undefeated. Both teams' goal statistics (40% BTS) support a balanced scenario.
3.4
Confidence
Medium
Victory of Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting won 4 out of 10 home games, but against an unbeaten team, the scenario is unlikely. The home attack scored in 50% of matches, but Nacional's defense conceded only 4 goals in 10 games.
4.2
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Defensor Sporting vs Nacional
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Defensor Sporting vs Nacional Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 40% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 100% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (5/5) | Maximiliano Gomez | ||
50% (2/4) | Agustin Rogel | ||
67% (2/3) | Maximiliano Silvera | ||
25% (1/4) | Tomas Veron | ||
25% (1/4) | Pavel Nunez | ||
25% (1/4) | Camilo Candido | ||
25% (1/4) | Juan Cruz De Los Santos |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Montenegro | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | Maximiliano Gomez |
| Nicolas Wunsch | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Agustin Rogel |
| Alexander Machado | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Maximiliano Silvera |
| Facundo Castro | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tomas Veron |
| Lucas Agazzi | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pavel Nunez |
⚽1 | Juan Cruz De Los Santos | ||
⚽1 | Camilo Candido |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 83% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 83% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 83% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 67% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 67% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 17% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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