Independiente Medellin - Atletico Nacional: our prediction
23/11/2025•23:45
Independiente Medellin
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
Atletico Nacional
-
1
-
X
-
2
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Preview — Primera A Clausura Playoff Grp. A
Independiente Medellin hosts Atletico Nacional in a Primera A Clausura playoff match. Medellin, the home favorite with odds of 2.1, has a 60% win rate in their last 10 games, while Nacional, away, shows a 70% win rate. Both teams have strong offensive statistics, with a high probability of goals. No information on injuries or key absences has been found.
Our Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
Independiente Medellin has matches with over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, and Atletico Nacional in 80%. The strong offense of both teams and sometimes lax defenses suggest a high total goals. Historical data and current form confirm this trend. No injuries reported.
1.96
Confidence
Very high
Both Teams to Score
Both teams have vulnerable defenses and efficient attacks, with Independiente Medellin scoring in 60% of recent matches and Atletico Nacional in 70%. This indicates a high probability that both teams will score, supported by offensive statistics. No information on absences.
1.75
Confidence
High
Home Victory
Independiente Medellin has a strong home record with 60% wins in the last 10 matches. As the favorite with odds of 2.1, and against a less performing Atletico Nacional away, a victory is likely. Analysis of historical statistics and current form supports this scenario. No key absences reported.
2.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 88% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 20% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fydriszewski | 75% (3/4) | ||
| Alexis Serna | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Yony Gonzalez | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Baldomero Perlaza | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Diego Moreno | 50% (1/2) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fydriszewski | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Andres Sarmiento |
| Diego Moreno | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Alfredo Morelos |
| Alexis Serna | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Juan Rengifo |
| Yony Gonzalez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Edwin Cardona |
| Baldomero Perlaza | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Simon Garcia |
⚽⚽2 | Andres Felipe Roman | ||
⚽1 | Marlos Moreno | ||
⚽1 | Cristian Arango | ||
⚽1 | Jorman Campuzano | ||
⚽1 | Mateus Uribe | ||
⚽1 | Eduard Bello |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 86% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 86% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 86% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 57% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 29% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 14% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 14% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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