Crewe Alexandra - Stockport County: our prediction
03/12/2025•20:00
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
(1:1)
Finished AP
1 tab 4
Stockport County
-
1
-
X
-
2
Crewe Alexandra vs Stockport County Preview — EFL Trophy Final Stage
Crewe Alexandra, at home, faces Stockport County, the bookmakers' favorite, in the EFL Trophy. Recent statistics show that Crewe is involved in high-scoring games, with 70% of its last matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Stockport shows a more solid defense but a less prolific attack away from home. An open match with chances on both sides is expected.
Our Crewe Alexandra vs Stockport County predictions
Both teams to score
Crewe Alexandra has seen both teams score in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Its attack is active (9/10 matches with +0.5 goals), but its defense is vulnerable (only 2 clean sheets). Stockport County has a more moderate record (5/10), but its attack has scored in 8 of its last 10 matches. The offensive trend of both teams, combined with Crewe's sometimes fragile home defense, supports this scenario.
1.5
Confidence
Medium
Over 2,5 goals in the match
Crewe Alexandra's matches are often high-scoring: 7 of its last 10 matches exceeded 2.5 goals (70%). The team scores regularly (high offensive average) but also concedes. Stockport County exceeded this limit in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). The combination of Crewe's prolific home attack and Stockport's ability to score away (8/10 matches with at least one goal) makes a total of 3 or more goals plausible.
1.57
Confidence
Medium
Stockport County to win
Stockport County is the designated favorite (odds at 1.85). In the last 10 matches, it has 5 wins (50%), compared to 4 for Crewe Alexandra (40%). Its defense is more solid (3 clean sheets vs. 2 for Crewe). However, Crewe plays at home and can be dangerous offensively. Stockport's advantage is not overwhelming, and Crewe's recent form (especially its attack) calls for caution. Confidence is therefore low, based mainly on the favorite status and Stockport's defensive solidity.
2
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Crewe Alexandra vs Stockport County
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Crewe Alexandra vs Stockport County Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 50% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Emre Tezgel | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Adama Sidibeh |
| Josh March | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Louie Barry |
| Adrien Thibaut | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Odin Bailey |
| Matus Holicek | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Josh Stokes |
| Tommi O'Reilly | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Tayo Edun |
| Mickey Demetriou | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Malik Mothersille |
| James Connolly | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Ben Osborn |
| Reece Hutchinson | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Oliver Norwood |
10% (1/10) | Kyle Wootton | ||
20% (1/5) | Benony Andresson |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh March | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Louie Barry |
| Emre Tezgel | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Adama Sidibeh |
| Adrien Thibaut | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Odin Bailey |
| Matus Holicek | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Josh Stokes |
| Mickey Demetriou | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tayo Edun |
| James Connolly | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ben Osborn |
| Reece Hutchinson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Benony Andresson |
| Tommi O'Reilly | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kyle Wootton |
⚽1 | Malik Mothersille | ||
⚽1 | Oliver Norwood |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
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