Italy - Northern Ireland: our prediction
26/03/2026•20:45
Italy
2:0
(0:0)
Finished
Northern Ireland
-
1
-
X
-
2
Italy vs Northern Ireland Preview — World Cup Qualification UEFA 2nd Round
Italy, the clear favorite, hosts Northern Ireland in World Cup qualifying. Recent statistics show a clear Italian superiority with an effective attack and solid defense. Northern Ireland, struggling away from home, will find it hard to resist.
Our Italy vs Northern Ireland predictions
Italy - Over 1.5 Goals
Italy has scored over 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70% for the 'parou15' indicator). Its attack is consistent and effective. Against a Northern Irish defense that has conceded over 1.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches, Italy should easily score at least two goals.
1.22
Confidence
Very high
Italy Win
Italy has won 6 of its last 10 matches, with an average favorite odds of 1.25. At home, they are even stronger. Northern Ireland has lost 5 of its last 10 matches and has never won as an outsider (0/6). The Italian defense kept a clean sheet in 40% of recent matches, while the Northern Irish attack rarely scores more than 0.5 goals per game.
1.25
Confidence
High
Market signals on Italy vs Northern Ireland
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Italy vs Northern Ireland Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 17% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 50% |
2nd half | 60% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Moise Kean | 83% (5/6) | 20% (2/10) | Jamie Donley |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Isaac Price |
| Sandro Tonali | 33% (3/9) | 13% (1/8) | Shea Charles |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 38% (3/8) | 10% (1/10) | Justin Devenny |
| Mateo Retegui | 30% (3/10) | 11% (1/9) | Trai Hume |
| Gianluca Mancini | 25% (2/8) | 14% (1/7) | Jamie Reid |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Matteo Politano | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Andrea Cambiaso | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Moise Kean | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽2 | Jamie Donley |
| Mateo Retegui | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Isaac Price |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Jamie Reid |
| Sandro Tonali | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Justin Devenny |
| Giacomo Raspadori | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Shea Charles |
| Gianluca Mancini | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Trai Hume |
| Andrea Cambiaso | ⚽1 | ||
| Matteo Politano | ⚽1 | ||
| Alessandro Bastoni | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 40% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 10% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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