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Sweden - Poland: our prediction

31/03/2026•20:45

Sweden

3:2

(2:1)

Finished

Poland

Sweden vs Poland Preview — World Cup Qualification UEFA 2nd Round

Sweden hosts Poland in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. Sweden is the favorite with odds of 2.00, but their recent form is mixed (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in the last 10 matches). Poland, on the other hand, shows excellent form with 7 wins out of 10, and their attack, led by Lewandowski, is effective. Statistics show that both teams often score (60% of matches for each). No information on major absences was found.

Our Sweden vs Poland predictions

Poland scores at least 1 goal

Poland has scored at least one goal in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10). Their attack is in form, with Robert Lewandowski (4 goals in 8 matches) and Piotr Zielinski (3 goals in 8 matches) as the main contributors. Facing a Swedish defense that has kept only one clean sheet in the last 10 matches, it is very likely that Poland will find the back of the net. This indicator is the most solid statistically.

1.43

Confidence

Very high

Both teams to score

In the last 10 matches, both Sweden and Poland have seen both teams score in 60% of their encounters. Sweden has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches, while Poland has scored in 100% of its matches (10/10). Defenses are not solid: Sweden has kept only one clean sheet, Poland four. With effective attacks (Lewandowski, Zielinski for Poland; Nygren, Elanga for Sweden), a scenario with goals from both sides is likely.

1.8

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Sweden has seen under 2.5 goals in 50% of its matches, and Poland in 60%. Poland, in particular, has a strong tendency for low-scoring matches (8 of its last 10 matches had under 3.5 goals). Although both teams can score, the match could be tight and tactical, limiting the total number of goals. World Cup qualification adds stakes that may favor caution.

1.74

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sweden vs Poland

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sweden vs Poland Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Sweden	Poland
Win	4 2 4	7 2 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	63%	88%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	38%	88%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	0%
Win by being an outsider	50%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	60% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	0%
2nd half	80%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	33% (2/6)	50% (4/8)	Robert Lewandowski
Anthony Elanga	25% (2/8)	33% (3/9)	Piotr Zielinski
Benjamin Nygren	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Matty Cash
Yasin Ayari	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Jakub Kaminski
Gustav Lundgren	33% (1/3)	11% (1/9)	Bartosz Slisz
Anton Saletros	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Jakub Kiwior
Gustaf Lagerbielke	17% (1/6)	17% (1/6)	Pawel Wszolek
Ken Sema	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Karol Swiderski
		11% (1/9)	Sebastian Szymanski
		14% (1/7)	Nicola Zalewski

Total goals per player

	1	2
Viktor Gyoekeres	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Robert Lewandowski
Ken Sema	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Piotr Zielinski
Anthony Elanga	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Matty Cash
Yasin Ayari	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Jakub Kaminski
Benjamin Nygren	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Bartosz Slisz
Gustav Lundgren	⚽1	⚽1	Sebastian Szymanski
Anton Saletros	⚽1	⚽1	Nicola Zalewski
Gustaf Lagerbielke	⚽1	⚽1	Jakub Kiwior
		⚽1	Pawel Wszolek
		⚽1	Karol Swiderski

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	90%
Over corners 8.5	60%	60%
Over corners 9.5	60%	50%
Over corners 10.5	60%	40%
Over corners 11.5	50%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	70%
Over corners 3.5	80%	70%
Over corners 4.5	60%	50%
Over corners 5.5	30%	40%
Over corners 6.5	20%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	40%
1.5	40%	30%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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