Sweden - Poland: our prediction
31/03/2026•20:45
Sweden
3:2
(2:1)
Finished
Poland
-
1
-
X
-
2
Sweden vs Poland Preview — World Cup Qualification UEFA 2nd Round
Sweden hosts Poland in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. Sweden is the favorite with odds of 2.00, but their recent form is mixed (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in the last 10 matches). Poland, on the other hand, shows excellent form with 7 wins out of 10, and their attack, led by Lewandowski, is effective. Statistics show that both teams often score (60% of matches for each). No information on major absences was found.
Our Sweden vs Poland predictions
Poland scores at least 1 goal
Poland has scored at least one goal in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10). Their attack is in form, with Robert Lewandowski (4 goals in 8 matches) and Piotr Zielinski (3 goals in 8 matches) as the main contributors. Facing a Swedish defense that has kept only one clean sheet in the last 10 matches, it is very likely that Poland will find the back of the net. This indicator is the most solid statistically.
1.43
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both Sweden and Poland have seen both teams score in 60% of their encounters. Sweden has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches, while Poland has scored in 100% of its matches (10/10). Defenses are not solid: Sweden has kept only one clean sheet, Poland four. With effective attacks (Lewandowski, Zielinski for Poland; Nygren, Elanga for Sweden), a scenario with goals from both sides is likely.
1.8
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Sweden has seen under 2.5 goals in 50% of its matches, and Poland in 60%. Poland, in particular, has a strong tendency for low-scoring matches (8 of its last 10 matches had under 3.5 goals). Although both teams can score, the match could be tight and tactical, limiting the total number of goals. World Cup qualification adds stakes that may favor caution.
1.74
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Sweden vs Poland
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sweden vs Poland Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 88% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 88% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 0% |
2nd half | 80% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyoekeres | 33% (2/6) | 50% (4/8) | Robert Lewandowski |
| Anthony Elanga | 25% (2/8) | 33% (3/9) | Piotr Zielinski |
| Benjamin Nygren | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Matty Cash |
| Yasin Ayari | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Jakub Kaminski |
| Gustav Lundgren | 33% (1/3) | 11% (1/9) | Bartosz Slisz |
| Anton Saletros | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Jakub Kiwior |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | 17% (1/6) | 17% (1/6) | Pawel Wszolek |
| Ken Sema | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Karol Swiderski |
11% (1/9) | Sebastian Szymanski | ||
14% (1/7) | Nicola Zalewski |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Gyoekeres | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Robert Lewandowski |
| Ken Sema | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Piotr Zielinski |
| Anthony Elanga | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Matty Cash |
| Yasin Ayari | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Jakub Kaminski |
| Benjamin Nygren | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bartosz Slisz |
| Gustav Lundgren | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sebastian Szymanski |
| Anton Saletros | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nicola Zalewski |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jakub Kiwior |
⚽1 | Pawel Wszolek | ||
⚽1 | Karol Swiderski |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 40% |
1.5 | 40% | 30% |
2.5 | 20% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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