Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol: our prediction
21/01/2026•17:00
Aris Limassol
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
AEL Limassol
-
1
-
X
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2
Aris Limassol vs AEL Limassol Preview — Cup
Aris Limassol, favored at home, faces AEL Limassol in the Cup. Based on the last 10 matches, Aris shows solid form (6W, 2D, 2L) and an efficient attack, while AEL is more inconsistent away. Statistics suggest a match likely dominated by the home team with goals.
Our Aris Limassol vs AEL Limassol predictions
Aris Limassol scores at least 1 goal
The 'parou05' indicator (Over 0.5 goals per team) is very strong for Aris Limassol at home: 8 successes in the last 10 matches (80%). The team scores in the vast majority of its matches, supported by scorers like Kvilitaia (4 goals). Facing an AEL defense that kept a clean sheet in only 40% of its recent matches, it is very likely that Aris will find the back of the net. No major offensive injuries reported.
1.1
Confidence
Very high
Over 1.5 goals in the match
The 'over15' indicator shows that Aris Limassol exceeded 1.5 goals per match in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). Even though AEL is less prolific (60%), Aris's offensive trend at home and favorite status suggest the match should see at least 2 goals. The encoded historical data also indicates a high frequency for this scenario.
1.22
Confidence
High
Aris Limassol Win
Aris Limassol, a strong favorite with bookmakers (odds at 1.39), plays at home and shows solid form with 6 wins in its last 10 matches. Its defense is reliable (6 clean sheets in 10) and its attack scores regularly. Facing an AEL Limassol less effective away (only 1 win in 10 away matches according to encoded data), the statistical logic clearly leans towards a home win. No information on major absences was found.
1.4
Confidence
High
Market signals on Aris Limassol vs AEL Limassol
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Aris Limassol vs AEL Limassol Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 2 2 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 75% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 30% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 20% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rody Junior Effaghe | 30% (3/10) | 50% (4/8) | Zakaria Sawo |
| Jaden Montnor | 20% (2/10) | 67% (2/3) | Luther Singh |
| Andronikos Kakoullis | 22% (2/9) | 13% (1/8) | Andreas Panayiotou |
| Grigoris Kastanos | 20% (2/10) | 14% (1/7) | Ivan Milosavljevic |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Fernando Forestieri |
| Charalambos Charalambous | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Andreas Makris |
| Dennis Gaustad | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Danil Paroutis |
14% (1/7) | Sergio Conceicao |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rody Junior Effaghe | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Zakaria Sawo |
| Andronikos Kakoullis | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Luther Singh |
| Grigoris Kastanos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Andreas Panayiotou |
| Jaden Montnor | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ivan Milosavljevic |
| Dennis Gaustad | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Andreas Makris |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sergio Conceicao |
| Charalambos Charalambous | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Fernando Forestieri |
⚽1 | Danil Paroutis |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 20% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 10% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 30% |
1.5 | 30% | 30% |
2.5 | 20% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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