Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal: our prediction
07/12/2025•02:00
Alianza Lima
3:3
(3:1)
Finished AP
4 tab 5
Sporting Cristal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Preview — Liga 1 Placement Playoff
Alianza Lima hosts Sporting Cristal in the Liga 1 Placement Playoff. The home team is favored by bookmakers. Over the last 10 matches, both teams show irregular form (5 wins each). Statistics show a strong trend for Alianza Lima matches to have both teams scoring (9/10) and for matches to exceed 2.5 goals (9/10).
Our Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal predictions
Alianza Lima to Win
Alianza Lima is playing at home and is the designated favorite (odds 2.01). Over the last 10 matches, they have secured 5 wins, a 50% success rate. They are strong at home and face a Sporting Cristal side that can be fragile away (3 defeats in 10). The 'Does not lose as favorite' trend is 5/6 for Alianza.
1.94
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Alianza Lima's matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals (9 out of the last 10). Sporting Cristal has also exceeded this limit in 5 of its last 10 matches. Alianza's attack is effective (Jose Paolo Guerrero, 6 goals) and their defense often concedes. An open match with several goals is likely.
2.38
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Alianza Lima has seen both teams score in 9 of its last 10 matches. Sporting Cristal has scored in 7 of its last 10 away matches and conceded at least one goal in 7 of those 10 matches. Alianza's defense (1 clean sheet in 10) and Cristal's attack (5 goals in 10 matches) support this scenario.
2.01
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 90% 10% | 50% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (4/4) | Gustavo Cazonatti | ||
75% (3/4) | Yoshimar Yotun | ||
67% (2/3) | Felipe Vizeu | ||
50% (1/2) | Santiago Gonzalez | ||
25% (1/4) | Catriel Cabellos |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Eryc Castillo | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gustavo Cazonatti |
| Fernando Gaibor | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Yoshimar Yotun |
| Jairo Velez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Felipe Vizeu |
| Jose Paolo Guerrero | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Catriel Cabellos |
| Esteban Pavez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Gonzalez |
| Marco Huaman | ⚽1 | ||
| Alan Cantero | ⚽1 | ||
| Federico Girotti | ⚽1 | ||
| Renzo Garces | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 83% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 67% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 67% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 67% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 33% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 0% |
1.5 | 10% | 0% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers