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Mali - Tunisia: our prediction

03/01/2026•20:00

Mali

1:1

(0:0)

Finished AP

3 tab 2

Tunisia

Mali vs Tunisia Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

Balanced match between Mali (home) and Tunisia (bookmakers' favorite). Mali has a solid defense but a limited attack, while Tunisia is more efficient and consistent. A tight match with few goals is expected.

Our Mali vs Tunisia predictions

Under 2,5 goals in the match

Mali has recorded under 2,5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Tunisia has seen under 2,5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches. Both teams have solid defenses, especially Mali at home. Historical statistics and recent trends indicate a low-scoring match.

1.33

Confidence

Very high

Tunisia to score at least 1 goal

Tunisia has scored at least one goal in its last 10 matches (100%). They have a varied attack with several scorers (Ali Abdi, Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane, etc.). Mali has conceded at least one goal in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). The probability of Tunisia finding the back of the net is very high, even against Mali's solid defense.

1.64

Confidence

Very high

Tunisia to win

Tunisia is the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 2.65). They have won 6 of their last 10 matches (60%), compared to only 3 for Mali (30%). Moreover, Tunisia has won 6 of its last 8 matches as favorite. Mali, on the other hand, struggles to win at home. Recent form and Tunisia's superior quality justify this bet.

3.35

Confidence

High

Market signals on Mali vs Tunisia

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Mali vs Tunisia Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Mali	Tunisia
Win	3 5 2	6 3 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	100%
Win by being a favorite	38%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	70% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	10%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Lassine Sinayoko	50% (4/8)	40% (2/5)	Firas Chaouat
Gaoussou Diarra	17% (1/6)	40% (2/5)	Ali Abdi
Gaoussou Diakite	17% (1/6)	40% (2/5)	Montassar Talbi
El Bilal Toure	20% (1/5)	40% (2/5)	Elias Achouri
Kamory Doumbia	13% (1/8)	20% (1/5)	Hazem Mastouri
Dorgeles Nene	13% (1/8)	20% (1/5)	Ismael Gharbi
		20% (1/5)	Yassine Meriah
		20% (1/5)	Ellyes Skhiri
		25% (1/4)	Elias Saad
		25% (1/4)	Sebastian Tounekti

Total goals per player

	1	2
Lassine Sinayoko	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽3	Elias Achouri
Kamory Doumbia	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Firas Chaouat
Gaoussou Diarra	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Ali Abdi
Gaoussou Diakite	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Montassar Talbi
Dorgeles Nene	⚽1	⚽1	Ellyes Skhiri
El Bilal Toure	⚽1	⚽1	Ismael Gharbi
		⚽1	Hazem Mastouri
		⚽1	Elias Saad
		⚽1	Sebastian Tounekti
		⚽1	Yassine Meriah

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	70%
Over corners 7.5	40%	70%
Over corners 8.5	30%	60%
Over corners 9.5	20%	60%
Over corners 10.5	20%	30%
Over corners 11.5	10%	10%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	30%	50%
Over corners 3.5	20%	50%
Over corners 4.5	20%	40%
Over corners 5.5	20%	30%
Over corners 6.5	10%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	10%
1.5	0%	10%
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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