Mali - Tunisia: our prediction
03/01/2026•20:00
Mali
1:1
(0:0)
Finished AP
3 tab 2
Tunisia
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mali vs Tunisia Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage
Balanced match between Mali (home) and Tunisia (bookmakers' favorite). Mali has a solid defense but a limited attack, while Tunisia is more efficient and consistent. A tight match with few goals is expected.
Our Mali vs Tunisia predictions
Under 2,5 goals in the match
Mali has recorded under 2,5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Tunisia has seen under 2,5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches. Both teams have solid defenses, especially Mali at home. Historical statistics and recent trends indicate a low-scoring match.
1.33
Confidence
Very high
Tunisia to score at least 1 goal
Tunisia has scored at least one goal in its last 10 matches (100%). They have a varied attack with several scorers (Ali Abdi, Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane, etc.). Mali has conceded at least one goal in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). The probability of Tunisia finding the back of the net is very high, even against Mali's solid defense.
1.64
Confidence
Very high
Tunisia to win
Tunisia is the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 2.65). They have won 6 of their last 10 matches (60%), compared to only 3 for Mali (30%). Moreover, Tunisia has won 6 of its last 8 matches as favorite. Mali, on the other hand, struggles to win at home. Recent form and Tunisia's superior quality justify this bet.
3.35
Confidence
High
Market signals on Mali vs Tunisia
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mali vs Tunisia Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 5 2 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 10% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassine Sinayoko | 50% (4/8) | 40% (2/5) | Firas Chaouat |
| Gaoussou Diarra | 17% (1/6) | 40% (2/5) | Ali Abdi |
| Gaoussou Diakite | 17% (1/6) | 40% (2/5) | Montassar Talbi |
| El Bilal Toure | 20% (1/5) | 40% (2/5) | Elias Achouri |
| Kamory Doumbia | 13% (1/8) | 20% (1/5) | Hazem Mastouri |
| Dorgeles Nene | 13% (1/8) | 20% (1/5) | Ismael Gharbi |
20% (1/5) | Yassine Meriah | ||
20% (1/5) | Ellyes Skhiri | ||
25% (1/4) | Elias Saad | ||
25% (1/4) | Sebastian Tounekti |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassine Sinayoko | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Elias Achouri |
| Kamory Doumbia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Firas Chaouat |
| Gaoussou Diarra | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Ali Abdi |
| Gaoussou Diakite | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Montassar Talbi |
| Dorgeles Nene | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ellyes Skhiri |
| El Bilal Toure | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ismael Gharbi |
⚽1 | Hazem Mastouri | ||
⚽1 | Elias Saad | ||
⚽1 | Sebastian Tounekti | ||
⚽1 | Yassine Meriah |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 10% |
1.5 | 0% | 10% |
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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