Rugby

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Mali - Senegal: our prediction

09/01/2026•17:00

Mali

0:1

(0:1)

Finished

Senegal

Mali vs Senegal Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

Senegal, the favorite in this match, is in excellent form with 8 wins in their last 10 games. Mali, less performant, might struggle to contain the Senegalese attack.

Our Mali vs Senegal predictions

Senegal Win

Senegal has won 8 of its last 10 matches and lost only once. As favorite, it has won 7 out of 9 times. Mali has only 3 wins in the last 10 matches. Senegal's form and offensive quality (Sadio Mané, Nicolas Jackson) should make the difference.

1.75

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

Mali has seen under 2.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches. Senegal, although offensive, has also had 3 matches with under 2.5 goals. Senegal's defense (6 clean sheets) and Mali's limited attack suggest a low-scoring game.

1.53

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Mali vs Senegal

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Mali vs Senegal Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Mali	Senegal
Win	3 5 2	8 1 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	38%	78%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	70% 30%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	50%
2nd half	50%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	100%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Lassine Sinayoko	50% (4/8)	43% (3/7)	Nicolas Jackson
Kamory Doumbia	13% (1/8)	43% (3/7)	Cherif Ndiaye
Gaoussou Diarra	17% (1/6)	43% (3/7)	Sadio Mane
Gaoussou Diakite	17% (1/6)	43% (3/7)	Ibrahim Mbaye
El Bilal Toure	20% (1/5)	29% (2/7)	Abdoulaye Seck
Dorgeles Nene	13% (1/8)	14% (1/7)	Iliman Ndiaye
		14% (1/7)	Ismaila Sarr
		14% (1/7)	Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo
		14% (1/7)	Pape Gueye
		14% (1/7)	Lamine Camara
		17% (1/6)	Malick Diouf

Total goals per player

	1	2
Lassine Sinayoko	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Nicolas Jackson
Kamory Doumbia	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Sadio Mane
Gaoussou Diakite	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Ibrahim Mbaye
Dorgeles Nene	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Cherif Ndiaye
El Bilal Toure	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Abdoulaye Seck
Gaoussou Diarra	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Pape Gueye
		⚽1	Iliman Ndiaye
		⚽1	Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo
		⚽1	Lamine Camara
		⚽1	Malick Diouf
		⚽1	Ismaila Sarr

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	70%
Over corners 7.5	40%	60%
Over corners 8.5	30%	50%
Over corners 9.5	20%	30%
Over corners 10.5	20%	30%
Over corners 11.5	10%	20%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	30%	70%
Over corners 3.5	20%	70%
Over corners 4.5	10%	50%
Over corners 5.5	10%	30%
Over corners 6.5	0%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	20%	30%
1.5	10%	20%
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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