Mali - Senegal: our prediction
09/01/2026•17:00
Mali
0:1
(0:1)
Finished
Senegal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mali vs Senegal Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage
Senegal, the favorite in this match, is in excellent form with 8 wins in their last 10 games. Mali, less performant, might struggle to contain the Senegalese attack.
Our Mali vs Senegal predictions
Senegal Win
Senegal has won 8 of its last 10 matches and lost only once. As favorite, it has won 7 out of 9 times. Mali has only 3 wins in the last 10 matches. Senegal's form and offensive quality (Sadio Mané, Nicolas Jackson) should make the difference.
1.75
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
Mali has seen under 2.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches. Senegal, although offensive, has also had 3 matches with under 2.5 goals. Senegal's defense (6 clean sheets) and Mali's limited attack suggest a low-scoring game.
1.53
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mali vs Senegal
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mali vs Senegal Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 5 2 | 8 1 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 30% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassine Sinayoko | 50% (4/8) | 43% (3/7) | Nicolas Jackson |
| Kamory Doumbia | 13% (1/8) | 43% (3/7) | Cherif Ndiaye |
| Gaoussou Diarra | 17% (1/6) | 43% (3/7) | Sadio Mane |
| Gaoussou Diakite | 17% (1/6) | 43% (3/7) | Ibrahim Mbaye |
| El Bilal Toure | 20% (1/5) | 29% (2/7) | Abdoulaye Seck |
| Dorgeles Nene | 13% (1/8) | 14% (1/7) | Iliman Ndiaye |
14% (1/7) | Ismaila Sarr | ||
14% (1/7) | Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | ||
14% (1/7) | Pape Gueye | ||
14% (1/7) | Lamine Camara | ||
17% (1/6) | Malick Diouf |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Lassine Sinayoko | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Nicolas Jackson |
| Kamory Doumbia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Sadio Mane |
| Gaoussou Diakite | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ibrahim Mbaye |
| Dorgeles Nene | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Cherif Ndiaye |
| El Bilal Toure | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Abdoulaye Seck |
| Gaoussou Diarra | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Pape Gueye |
⚽1 | Iliman Ndiaye | ||
⚽1 | Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | ||
⚽1 | Lamine Camara | ||
⚽1 | Malick Diouf | ||
⚽1 | Ismaila Sarr |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 30% |
1.5 | 10% | 20% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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