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Egypt - Nigeria: our prediction

17/01/2026•17:00

Egypt

0:0

(0:0)

Finished AP

2 tab 4

Nigeria

Egypt vs Nigeria Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage

Nigeria, the bookmakers' favorite, faces a defensively solid Egypt. The Super Eagles show better attack (6 wins/10), while the Pharaohs are stronger defensively (7/10 under 2.5 goals). A tight match with goals likely from both sides.

Our Egypt vs Nigeria predictions

Under 3.5 Goals

Egypt: 9/10 matches under 3.5 goals (90%), Nigeria 6/10 (60%). Egyptian defense solid, Nigeria keeps well (4 clean sheets/10). AFCON matches often tight. Very low probability of over 3 goals.

1.23

Confidence

Very high

Nigeria Win

Nigeria is bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.05). Last 10 matches: 6 wins (60%) vs Egypt's 5. They win 6 out of 8 as favorite. Egypt lost 2 out of 10. Nigerian attack (Osimhen, Lookman) can make the difference.

2.22

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

Last 10 matches: Egypt with both teams scoring 5 times (50%), Nigeria 6 times (60%). Nigerian attack efficient (9/10 over 1.5), Egypt scores regularly (7/10 over 0.5 per team). Defenses not impenetrable.

1.83

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Egypt vs Nigeria

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Egypt vs Nigeria Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Egypt	Nigeria
Win	5 3 2	6 3 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	88%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	67%
Win by being a favorite	50%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	0%
Win by being an outsider	50%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	60% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	20%
2nd half	30%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Omar Marmoush	30% (3/10)	57% (4/7)	Akor Adams
Mohamed Salah	43% (3/7)	57% (4/7)	Ademola Lookman
Rami Rabia	20% (2/10)	43% (3/7)	Victor Osimhen
Zizo	10% (1/10)	29% (2/7)	Moses Simon
Mostafa Ziko	100% (1/1)	29% (2/7)	Paul Onuachu
Marwan Ateya	11% (1/9)	17% (1/6)	Wilfred Ndidi
Islam Issa	50% (1/2)	14% (1/7)	Alex Iwobi
Mahmoud Saber	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
Trezeguet	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Raphael Onyedika
		14% (1/7)	Semi Ajayi

Total goals per player

	1	2
Mohamed Salah	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Akor Adams
Omar Marmoush	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Victor Osimhen
Rami Rabia	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Ademola Lookman
Mahmoud Saber	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Femi Azeez
Zizo	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Raphael Onyedika
Mostafa Ziko	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Paul Onuachu
Marwan Ateya	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Moses Simon
Trezeguet	⚽1	⚽1	Wilfred Ndidi
Islam Issa	⚽1	⚽1	Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
		⚽1	Alex Iwobi
		⚽1	Semi Ajayi

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	50%
Over corners 7.5	80%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	30%
Over corners 9.5	50%	30%
Over corners 10.5	30%	20%
Over corners 11.5	0%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	70%
Over corners 3.5	40%	60%
Over corners 4.5	30%	30%
Over corners 5.5	10%	20%
Over corners 6.5	10%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	30%	30%
1.5	20%	30%
2.5	10%	20%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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