Egypt - Nigeria: our prediction
17/01/2026•17:00
Egypt
0:0
(0:0)
Finished AP
2 tab 4
Nigeria
-
1
-
X
-
2
Egypt vs Nigeria Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage
Nigeria, the bookmakers' favorite, faces a defensively solid Egypt. The Super Eagles show better attack (6 wins/10), while the Pharaohs are stronger defensively (7/10 under 2.5 goals). A tight match with goals likely from both sides.
Our Egypt vs Nigeria predictions
Under 3.5 Goals
Egypt: 9/10 matches under 3.5 goals (90%), Nigeria 6/10 (60%). Egyptian defense solid, Nigeria keeps well (4 clean sheets/10). AFCON matches often tight. Very low probability of over 3 goals.
1.23
Confidence
Very high
Nigeria Win
Nigeria is bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.05). Last 10 matches: 6 wins (60%) vs Egypt's 5. They win 6 out of 8 as favorite. Egypt lost 2 out of 10. Nigerian attack (Osimhen, Lookman) can make the difference.
2.22
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
Last 10 matches: Egypt with both teams scoring 5 times (50%), Nigeria 6 times (60%). Nigerian attack efficient (9/10 over 1.5), Egypt scores regularly (7/10 over 0.5 per team). Defenses not impenetrable.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Egypt vs Nigeria
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Egypt vs Nigeria Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 40% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Marmoush | 30% (3/10) | 57% (4/7) | Akor Adams |
| Mohamed Salah | 43% (3/7) | 57% (4/7) | Ademola Lookman |
| Rami Rabia | 20% (2/10) | 43% (3/7) | Victor Osimhen |
| Zizo | 10% (1/10) | 29% (2/7) | Moses Simon |
| Mostafa Ziko | 100% (1/1) | 29% (2/7) | Paul Onuachu |
| Marwan Ateya | 11% (1/9) | 17% (1/6) | Wilfred Ndidi |
| Islam Issa | 50% (1/2) | 14% (1/7) | Alex Iwobi |
| Mahmoud Saber | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru |
| Trezeguet | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Raphael Onyedika |
14% (1/7) | Semi Ajayi |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Salah | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Akor Adams |
| Omar Marmoush | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Victor Osimhen |
| Rami Rabia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Ademola Lookman |
| Mahmoud Saber | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Femi Azeez |
| Zizo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Raphael Onyedika |
| Mostafa Ziko | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Paul Onuachu |
| Marwan Ateya | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Moses Simon |
| Trezeguet | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Wilfred Ndidi |
| Islam Issa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Fisayo Dele-Bashiru |
⚽1 | Alex Iwobi | ||
⚽1 | Semi Ajayi |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 30% |
1.5 | 20% | 30% |
2.5 | 10% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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