Senegal - Morocco: our prediction
18/01/2026•20:00
Senegal
1:3
(0:0)
Finished after awarded win
Morocco
-
1
-
X
-
2
Senegal vs Morocco Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Final Stage
Morocco, the bookmakers' favorite, faces a solid Senegal at home. Recent statistics show two teams in good form, with solid defenses and attacks capable of scoring. Morocco, unbeaten in their last 10 matches, will have a slight psychological advantage.
Our Senegal vs Morocco predictions
Morocco: Under 1.5 goals
Morocco has shown a very solid defense in their last 10 matches, with 9 clean sheets and only 1 match where the team scored more than one goal. Senegal, although efficient in attack, may struggle to break down this organized defense, especially in a cup match with limited risk.
1.35
Confidence
High
Match: Over 1.5 goals
Over the last 10 matches, Senegal has seen over 1.5 goals in 80% of its games. Morocco, although defensively solid, has also been involved in matches with goals. The offensive quality of both teams, with scorers like Sadio Mané for Senegal and Brahim Díaz for Morocco, makes it likely that at least two goals will be scored in this match.
1.7
Confidence
High
Both teams score at least 0.5 goals
Senegal has scored at least one goal in 90% of its last 10 matches. Morocco has also scored in 90% of its matches. Although the defenses are solid, the offensive power of both teams suggests that each is capable of finding the back of the net at least once. The 'Both teams score' (BTTS) bet is successful in only 20% of Senegal's matches and 10% of Morocco's, making 'Per team 0.5+' a more cautious and likely choice.
1.42
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Senegal vs Morocco
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Senegal vs Morocco Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 1 1 | 8 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 89% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 10% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sadio Mane | 43% (3/7) | 71% (5/7) | Brahim Diaz |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | 43% (3/7) | 43% (3/7) | Neil El Aynaoui |
| Cherif Ndiaye | 43% (3/7) | 29% (2/7) | Ayoub El Kaabi |
| Nicolas Jackson | 43% (3/7) | 14% (1/7) | Achraf Hakimi |
| Abdoulaye Seck | 29% (2/7) | 14% (1/7) | Bilal El Khannouss |
| Ismaila Sarr | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Youssef En-Nesyri |
| Pape Gueye | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Ismael Saibari |
| Malick Diouf | 17% (1/6) | 17% (1/6) | Eliesse Ben Seghir |
| Iliman Ndiaye | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Lamine Camara | 14% (1/7) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Jackson | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Brahim Diaz |
| Sadio Mane | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ayoub El Kaabi |
| Cherif Ndiaye | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Neil El Aynaoui |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Ismael Saibari |
| Abdoulaye Seck | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Achraf Hakimi |
| Pape Gueye | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Bilal El Khannouss |
| Iliman Ndiaye | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Eliesse Ben Seghir |
| Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Youssef En-Nesyri |
| Lamine Camara | ⚽1 | ||
| Malick Diouf | ⚽1 | ||
| Ismaila Sarr | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 20% |
1.5 | 30% | 10% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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