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FC Porto - Benfica: our prediction

14/01/2026•21:45

FC Porto

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Benfica

FC Porto vs Benfica Preview — Taca de Portugal

FC Porto hosts Benfica in the Taca de Portugal. Porto, the home favorite, shows a solid record with 9 wins out of 10. Benfica, strong away (7 wins out of 10), promises an intense duel. Both teams tend to score regularly.

Our FC Porto vs Benfica predictions

FC Porto to win

FC Porto is undefeated at home in their last 10 matches (9 wins, 1 defeat). Their 90% success rate as favorite, backed by an efficient attack (over 1.5 goals in 70% of cases) and a solid defense (60% clean sheets), makes them strong against a nonetheless strong away Benfica. No major absences reported.

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

The offensive statistics of both teams support this bet: FC Porto exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of recent matches, Benfica in 50%. With prolific attacks (Porto: over 1.5 goals per team at 70%; Benfica: 70%) and defenses that can concede, a high score is likely. No notable injuries weaken the attacks.

2.5

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

FC Porto saw both teams score in 40% of recent matches, Benfica in 50%. The attacks are efficient (over 1.5 goals per team at 70% for both), but defenses are sometimes tight (Porto: 60% clean sheets). However, the Portuguese classic is often balanced, and both teams have the means to score. No key absences affect the attacks.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on FC Porto vs Benfica

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

FC Porto vs Benfica Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	FC Porto	Benfica
Win	9 1	7 2 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	90%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	83%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	90%	78%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	60% 40%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	50% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	60% 40%	60% 40%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	40%
2nd half	50%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Deniz Gul	20% (2/10)	56% (5/9)	Richard Rios
Victor Froholdt	20% (2/10)	40% (4/10)	Andreas Schjelderup
Pepe	10% (1/10)	40% (4/10)	Rafa Silva
Seko Fofana	10% (1/10)	22% (2/9)	Leandro Barreiro
Jan Bednarek	11% (1/9)	20% (2/10)	Franjo Ivanovic
William Gomes	11% (1/9)	20% (2/10)	Vangelis Pavlidis
Gabriel Veiga	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Alexander Bah
Alberto Costa	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Gianluca Prestianni

Total goals per player

	1	2
Deniz Gul	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Richard Rios
Victor Froholdt	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Rafa Silva
Alberto Costa	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Andreas Schjelderup
William Gomes	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Franjo Ivanovic
Gabriel Veiga	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Vangelis Pavlidis
Seko Fofana	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Leandro Barreiro
Pepe	⚽1	⚽1	Gianluca Prestianni
Jan Bednarek	⚽1	⚽1	Alexander Bah

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	70%
Over corners 7.5	40%	60%
Over corners 8.5	30%	40%
Over corners 9.5	10%	40%
Over corners 10.5	10%	30%
Over corners 11.5	10%	30%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	80%
Over corners 3.5	90%	70%
Over corners 4.5	50%	50%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	10%
1.5	10%	10%
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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