FC Porto - Benfica: our prediction
14/01/2026•21:45
FC Porto
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Benfica
-
1
-
X
-
2
FC Porto vs Benfica Preview — Taca de Portugal
FC Porto hosts Benfica in the Taca de Portugal. Porto, the home favorite, shows a solid record with 9 wins out of 10. Benfica, strong away (7 wins out of 10), promises an intense duel. Both teams tend to score regularly.
Our FC Porto vs Benfica predictions
FC Porto to win
FC Porto is undefeated at home in their last 10 matches (9 wins, 1 defeat). Their 90% success rate as favorite, backed by an efficient attack (over 1.5 goals in 70% of cases) and a solid defense (60% clean sheets), makes them strong against a nonetheless strong away Benfica. No major absences reported.
2
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
The offensive statistics of both teams support this bet: FC Porto exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of recent matches, Benfica in 50%. With prolific attacks (Porto: over 1.5 goals per team at 70%; Benfica: 70%) and defenses that can concede, a high score is likely. No notable injuries weaken the attacks.
2.5
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
FC Porto saw both teams score in 40% of recent matches, Benfica in 50%. The attacks are efficient (over 1.5 goals per team at 70% for both), but defenses are sometimes tight (Porto: 60% clean sheets). However, the Portuguese classic is often balanced, and both teams have the means to score. No key absences affect the attacks.
2.1
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on FC Porto vs Benfica
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
FC Porto vs Benfica Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 9 1 | 7 2 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 83% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 90% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Deniz Gul | 20% (2/10) | 56% (5/9) | Richard Rios |
| Victor Froholdt | 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) | Andreas Schjelderup |
| Pepe | 10% (1/10) | 40% (4/10) | Rafa Silva |
| Seko Fofana | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Leandro Barreiro |
| Jan Bednarek | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Franjo Ivanovic |
| William Gomes | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Vangelis Pavlidis |
| Gabriel Veiga | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Alexander Bah |
| Alberto Costa | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Gianluca Prestianni |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Deniz Gul | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Richard Rios |
| Victor Froholdt | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Rafa Silva |
| Alberto Costa | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Andreas Schjelderup |
| William Gomes | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Franjo Ivanovic |
| Gabriel Veiga | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Vangelis Pavlidis |
| Seko Fofana | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Leandro Barreiro |
| Pepe | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gianluca Prestianni |
| Jan Bednarek | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alexander Bah |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 10% |
1.5 | 10% | 10% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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