Atletico Rafaela - San Martin de Formosa: our prediction
14/12/2025•22:30
Atletico Rafaela
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
San Martin de Formosa
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Formosa Preview — Federal A Promotion Playoff
Atlético Rafaela, unbeaten in 10 matches (7 wins, 3 draws), hosts San Martín de Formosa. Rafaela is a heavy favourite with bookmakers (odds 1.33). San Martín shows more irregular form away from home. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.
Our Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Formosa predictions
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Statistics are very clear: Atlético Rafaela has had under 3.5 goals in 100% of its last 10 matches. San Martín de Formosa has also had under 3.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. The probability of a match with more than 3 goals is extremely low, given the defensive trends of both teams and the low average goals per match.
1.11
Confidence
Very high
Atlético Rafaela to win
Atlético Rafaela is in excellent form (7 wins, 3 draws in the last 10 matches) and plays at home. They have not lost any of their last 10 matches. San Martín has won 5 of its last 10 matches but lost 4, and its away defense can be vulnerable. The odds of 1.33 clearly reflect the assumed superiority of the home side.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Atlético Rafaela has recorded under 2.5 goals in 5 of its games. San Martín de Formosa has also seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches. Rafaela's solid defense (no defeats, 6 clean sheets in 10) and San Martín's sometimes ineffective attack away suggest a low-scoring match.
1.36
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Formosa
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico Rafaela vs San Martin de Formosa Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 3 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 70% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 20% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Martiniano Moreno | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gervasio Daniel Nunez |
| Francisco Nouet | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Lautaro Ceratto |
| Lucas Albertengo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Agustin Griego |
| Mauro Quiroga | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Mauro Nicolas Siergiejuk |
| Agustin Obando | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ricardo Tapia |
| Ijiel Protti | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ramon Ledesma |
⚽1 | Dylan Leiva | ||
⚽1 | Oscar Chiquichano |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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