FCV Dender EH - Union St.Gilloise: our prediction
14/01/2026•20:30
FCV Dender EH
0:2
(0:2)
Finished
Union St.Gilloise
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1
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X
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2
FCV Dender EH vs Union St.Gilloise Preview — Cup
Union St.Gilloise, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.4), faces FCV Dender EH in the Cup. Dender shows a strong trend for high-scoring offensive matches but a fragile defense. Union, more solid, has fewer matches with over 2.5 goals. Recent statistics favor the away team.
Our FCV Dender EH vs Union St.Gilloise predictions
Union St.Gilloise to Win
Union St.Gilloise is the clear favorite (odds 1.4). In the last 10 matches, Union has won 4 times compared to only 3 for Dender. Dender has a very weak defense (0 clean sheets in 10 matches). Union shows better defensive solidity (3 clean sheets) and the ability to win as a favorite (3 wins in 7 matches in that role). The difference in level and current form favors the visitors.
1.45
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
FCV Dender EH has seen both teams score in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Its attack is capable (scores regularly) but its defense is very leaky. Union St.Gilloise has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Even though Union is the favorite, Dender's strong offensive trend at home and its weak defense suggest they can score. Union, superior, should also find the back of the net.
1.94
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals in the Match
Contrasting analysis. For FCV Dender EH, the 'Over 2.5 Goals' bet succeeded 8 times in the last 10 matches (80%), showing a clear trend for high-scoring matches. However, for Union St.Gilloise, the same bet succeeded only 2 times out of 10 (20%), indicating a preference for tighter matches. The match could therefore combine Dender's offense and Union's control. The probability of at least 3 goals remains significant given Dender's defensive fragility and Union's offensive quality.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on FCV Dender EH vs Union St.Gilloise
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
FCV Dender EH vs Union St.Gilloise Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 25% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 63% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 38% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 38% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 90% 10% | 60% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Berte | 22% (2/9) | 38% (3/8) | Mateo Biondic |
| Alireza Jahanbakhsh | 14% (1/7) | 22% (2/9) | Ross Sykes |
| Malcolm Viltard | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Kevin Rodriguez |
| Fabio Ferraro | 33% (1/3) | 20% (2/10) | Anouar Ait El Hadj |
| Noah Mbamba | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Adem Zorgane |
| Bryan Goncalves | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Mohammed Fuseini |
| Desmond Acquah | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Anan Khalaili |
| David Hrncar | 20% (1/5) | 10% (1/10) | Guilherme Smith |
| Bruny Nsimba | 20% (1/5) | 11% (1/9) | Kevin Mac Allister |
17% (1/6) | Besfort Zeneli |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Berte | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Mateo Biondic |
| David Hrncar | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Anouar Ait El Hadj |
| Bruny Nsimba | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Adem Zorgane |
| Desmond Acquah | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Ross Sykes |
| Fabio Ferraro | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Kevin Rodriguez |
| Noah Mbamba | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Besfort Zeneli |
| Bryan Goncalves | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mohammed Fuseini |
| Alireza Jahanbakhsh | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Anan Khalaili |
| Malcolm Viltard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Guilherme Smith |
⚽1 | Kevin Mac Allister |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 30% |
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