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Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle: our prediction

13/01/2026•20:00

Bristol Rovers

3:4

(2:1)

Finished

Plymouth Argyle

Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Preview — EFL Trophy Final Stage

Bristol Rovers, struggling at home (1 win in the last 10 matches), hosts Plymouth Argyle, the bookmakers' favorite with better away form (5 wins out of 10). Historical statistics and recent form suggest an advantage for the visitors in this EFL Trophy match.

Our Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle predictions

Plymouth Argyle to Win

Plymouth Argyle is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.09) and shows much better form: 5 wins in the last 10 away matches, compared to only 1 home win for Bristol Rovers in the same period. Plymouth also has a better defense (4 clean sheets vs. 1 for Bristol) and a more effective attack. No information on major absences was found, increasing confidence in an away victory.

2.15

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics from the last 10 matches show a trend towards low scores: Bristol Rovers had under 2.5 goals in 5/10 matches, Plymouth Argyle in 6/10. Furthermore, Bristol struggles to score (under 0.5 goals per game in 6/10 cases) and Plymouth, although favored, is not an ultra-offensive away team (over 1.5 goals per team only 2/10 times). The match could therefore be tight with few goals.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Bristol Rovers	Plymouth Argyle
Win	1 2 7	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	0%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	25%	71%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	13%	43%
Win by being an outsider	13%	43%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	40% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	30%
2nd half	50%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ellis Harrison	50% (5/10)	57% (4/7)	Lorent Tolaj
Shaqai Forde	25% (2/8)	38% (3/8)	Aribim Pepple
Yusuf Akhamrich	22% (2/9)	33% (2/6)	Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
Tommy Leigh	11% (1/9)	22% (2/9)	Owen Oseni
Riley Harbottle	10% (1/10)	20% (2/10)	Alexander Mitchell
Promise Omochere	33% (1/3)	20% (2/10)	Malachi Boateng
Jack Sparkes	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Owen Dale
Mees Rijks	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Mathias Ross
Alfie Kilgour	17% (1/6)	13% (1/8)	Caleb Watts
Joe Quigley	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Ronan Curtis

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ellis Harrison	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Aribim Pepple
Shaqai Forde	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Lorent Tolaj
Yusuf Akhamrich	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Owen Oseni
Tommy Leigh	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Malachi Boateng
Riley Harbottle	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
Alfie Kilgour	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Alexander Mitchell
Joe Quigley	⚽1	⚽1	Caleb Watts
Promise Omochere	⚽1	⚽1	Ronan Curtis
Jack Sparkes	⚽1	⚽1	Mathias Ross
Mees Rijks	⚽1	⚽1	Owen Dale

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	100%
Over corners 7.5	80%	90%
Over corners 8.5	60%	80%
Over corners 9.5	60%	80%
Over corners 10.5	50%	70%
Over corners 11.5	30%	50%
Over corners 12.5	30%	40%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	70%
Over corners 3.5	50%	70%
Over corners 4.5	30%	50%
Over corners 5.5	20%	20%
Over corners 6.5	20%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	20%
1.5	0%	10%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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