Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle: our prediction
13/01/2026•20:00
Bristol Rovers
3:4
(2:1)
Finished
Plymouth Argyle
-
1
-
X
-
2
Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Preview — EFL Trophy Final Stage
Bristol Rovers, struggling at home (1 win in the last 10 matches), hosts Plymouth Argyle, the bookmakers' favorite with better away form (5 wins out of 10). Historical statistics and recent form suggest an advantage for the visitors in this EFL Trophy match.
Our Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle predictions
Plymouth Argyle to Win
Plymouth Argyle is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.09) and shows much better form: 5 wins in the last 10 away matches, compared to only 1 home win for Bristol Rovers in the same period. Plymouth also has a better defense (4 clean sheets vs. 1 for Bristol) and a more effective attack. No information on major absences was found, increasing confidence in an away victory.
2.15
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a trend towards low scores: Bristol Rovers had under 2.5 goals in 5/10 matches, Plymouth Argyle in 6/10. Furthermore, Bristol struggles to score (under 0.5 goals per game in 6/10 cases) and Plymouth, although favored, is not an ultra-offensive away team (over 1.5 goals per team only 2/10 times). The match could therefore be tight with few goals.
2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 2 7 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 71% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 13% | 43% |
Win by being an outsider | 13% | 43% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 40% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Harrison | 50% (5/10) | 57% (4/7) | Lorent Tolaj |
| Shaqai Forde | 25% (2/8) | 38% (3/8) | Aribim Pepple |
| Yusuf Akhamrich | 22% (2/9) | 33% (2/6) | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu |
| Tommy Leigh | 11% (1/9) | 22% (2/9) | Owen Oseni |
| Riley Harbottle | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Alexander Mitchell |
| Promise Omochere | 33% (1/3) | 20% (2/10) | Malachi Boateng |
| Jack Sparkes | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Owen Dale |
| Mees Rijks | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Mathias Ross |
| Alfie Kilgour | 17% (1/6) | 13% (1/8) | Caleb Watts |
| Joe Quigley | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Ronan Curtis |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Harrison | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Aribim Pepple |
| Shaqai Forde | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Lorent Tolaj |
| Yusuf Akhamrich | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Owen Oseni |
| Tommy Leigh | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Malachi Boateng |
| Riley Harbottle | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu |
| Alfie Kilgour | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Alexander Mitchell |
| Joe Quigley | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Caleb Watts |
| Promise Omochere | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ronan Curtis |
| Jack Sparkes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mathias Ross |
| Mees Rijks | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Owen Dale |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 20% |
1.5 | 0% | 10% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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