Lech Poznan - Gornik Zabrze: our prediction
04/03/2026•20:30
Lech Poznan
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Finished
Gornik Zabrze
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Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Preview — FA Cup
Lech Poznan, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts Gornik Zabrze in the Polish Cup. The home team shows solid form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, while Gornik Zabrze, struggling away, has lost 5 of their last 10. Statistics suggest a match with goals, but a probable Lech Poznan victory.
Our Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze predictions
Lech Poznan to Win
Lech Poznan is clearly favored (odds at 1.75). In their last 10 matches, they have won 7 times (70%) and lost only twice. At home, their success rate as favorites is 75% (6 wins in 8 matches). Gornik Zabrze has lost 5 of their last 10 matches (50%) and won only once as favorites in 7 matches. Form and league position clearly favor Lech Poznan.
1.95
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals in the Match
In the last 10 matches, Lech Poznan had over 2.5 goals in 5 matches (50%). Gornik Zabrze has a slightly higher rate of 60% (6 matches out of 10). Both teams have defenses that regularly concede (Lech: 6 matches with at least one goal conceded in 10; Gornik: 10/10). Combined with Lech Poznan's effective attack (9 matches with at least one goal scored in 10), a scenario with 3 or more goals is plausible. Historical data and offensive form support this bet.
1.73
Confidence
Medium
Both Teams to Score
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Lech Poznan saw both teams score in 5 of their matches (50%). Gornik Zabrze has a higher rate of 70% (7 matches out of 10). Lech Poznan's defense kept a clean sheet only 4 times in 10, while Gornik Zabrze never kept a clean sheet in this period. Lech Poznan's attack scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches. It is therefore likely that each team finds the back of the net.
1.62
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 80% | 17% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 14% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 70% | 60% |
2nd half | 20% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Palma | 50% (5/10) | 33% (3/9) | Maksym Khlan |
| Mikael Ishak | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Yvan Ikia Dimi |
| Ali Gholizadeh | 29% (2/7) | 20% (2/10) | Rafal Janicki |
| Leo Bengtsson | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Roberto Massimo |
| Patrik Waalemark | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Michal Rakoczy |
| Daniel Haakans | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Sondre Liseth |
| Michal Gurgul | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Lukas Sadilek |
| Taofeek Ismaheel | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Pawel Bochniewicz |
| Antoni Kozubal | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Erik Janza |
10% (1/10) | Jaroslaw Kubicki |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Ishak | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Maksym Khlan |
| Luis Palma | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Rafal Janicki |
| Leo Bengtsson | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Lukas Sadilek |
| Ali Gholizadeh | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Yvan Ikia Dimi |
| Patrik Waalemark | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Roberto Massimo |
| Michal Gurgul | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sondre Liseth |
| Daniel Haakans | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Michal Rakoczy |
| Antoni Kozubal | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pawel Bochniewicz |
| Taofeek Ismaheel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Erik Janza |
⚽1 | Jaroslaw Kubicki |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 40% |
1.5 | 40% | 10% |
2.5 | 20% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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