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Aberdeen - Raith Rovers: our prediction

18/01/2026•15:30

Aberdeen

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Raith Rovers

Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Preview — FA Cup

Aberdeen, favored at home, faces Raith Rovers in the FA Cup. Despite poor recent form (2 wins in 10 matches), Aberdeen hopes to take advantage of their favorite status. Raith Rovers, more solid (4 wins in 10 matches) and with a rigorous defense (7 clean sheets), could cause an upset.

Our Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers predictions

Aberdeen scores less than 1.5 goals

Aberdeen has scored less than 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches, demonstrating recurring offensive difficulties. Even at home and favored, its ineffective attack (2.2 goals per match on average, but with high variance) should not explode against Raith's solid defense.

1.25

Confidence

Very high

Raith Rovers scores less than 1.5 goals

Raith Rovers has scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. Although its attack is capable of surprising, its playing style is generally cautious, especially away from home. Against an Aberdeen side that needs to reassure itself, chances could be limited.

1.43

Confidence

High

Less than 2.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, Aberdeen recorded less than 2.5 goals in 6 cases, Raith Rovers in 6 cases. Both teams are not very offensive and Raith has a solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10 matches), which suggests a low-scoring game.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Aberdeen	Raith Rovers
Win	2 1 7	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	20%
Win by being a favorite	67%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	100%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	40%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Toyosi Olusanya	20% (2/10)	57% (4/7)	Innes Cameron
Kevin Nisbet	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Kai Montagu
Afeez Aremu	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Lewis Vaughan
Stuart Armstrong	13% (1/8)	11% (1/9)	Paul Nsio
Dennis Geiger	14% (1/7)	25% (1/4)	Jordan Doherty
Mitchel Frame	13% (1/8)	17% (1/6)	Jack Hamilton
Liam Morrison	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Richard Chin
		11% (1/9)	Joshua Mullin

Total goals per player

	1	2
Kevin Nisbet	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Innes Cameron
Toyosi Olusanya	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Kai Montagu
Stuart Armstrong	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Lewis Vaughan
Afeez Aremu	⚽1	⚽1	Paul Nsio
Dennis Geiger	⚽1	⚽1	Joshua Mullin
Mitchel Frame	⚽1	⚽1	Richard Chin
Liam Morrison	⚽1	⚽1	Jack Hamilton
		⚽1	Jordan Doherty

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	100%
Over corners 7.5	90%	100%
Over corners 8.5	90%	100%
Over corners 9.5	60%	0%
Over corners 10.5	60%	0%
Over corners 11.5	50%	0%
Over corners 12.5	20%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	0%
Over corners 3.5	80%	0%
Over corners 4.5	50%	0%
Over corners 5.5	40%	0%
Over corners 6.5	30%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	30%	20%
1.5	30%	10%
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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