Aberdeen - Raith Rovers: our prediction
18/01/2026•15:30
Aberdeen
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
Raith Rovers
-
1
-
X
-
2
Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Preview — FA Cup
Aberdeen, favored at home, faces Raith Rovers in the FA Cup. Despite poor recent form (2 wins in 10 matches), Aberdeen hopes to take advantage of their favorite status. Raith Rovers, more solid (4 wins in 10 matches) and with a rigorous defense (7 clean sheets), could cause an upset.
Our Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers predictions
Aberdeen scores less than 1.5 goals
Aberdeen has scored less than 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches, demonstrating recurring offensive difficulties. Even at home and favored, its ineffective attack (2.2 goals per match on average, but with high variance) should not explode against Raith's solid defense.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Raith Rovers scores less than 1.5 goals
Raith Rovers has scored less than 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. Although its attack is capable of surprising, its playing style is generally cautious, especially away from home. Against an Aberdeen side that needs to reassure itself, chances could be limited.
1.43
Confidence
High
Less than 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Aberdeen recorded less than 2.5 goals in 6 cases, Raith Rovers in 6 cases. Both teams are not very offensive and Raith has a solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10 matches), which suggests a low-scoring game.
2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 1 7 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 30% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyosi Olusanya | 20% (2/10) | 57% (4/7) | Innes Cameron |
| Kevin Nisbet | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Kai Montagu |
| Afeez Aremu | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Lewis Vaughan |
| Stuart Armstrong | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Paul Nsio |
| Dennis Geiger | 14% (1/7) | 25% (1/4) | Jordan Doherty |
| Mitchel Frame | 13% (1/8) | 17% (1/6) | Jack Hamilton |
| Liam Morrison | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Richard Chin |
11% (1/9) | Joshua Mullin |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Nisbet | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Innes Cameron |
| Toyosi Olusanya | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Kai Montagu |
| Stuart Armstrong | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lewis Vaughan |
| Afeez Aremu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Paul Nsio |
| Dennis Geiger | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joshua Mullin |
| Mitchel Frame | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Richard Chin |
| Liam Morrison | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jack Hamilton |
⚽1 | Jordan Doherty |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 80% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 20% |
1.5 | 30% | 10% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers