Dundalk - Derry City: our prediction
29/05/2026•20:45
Dundalk
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Derry City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Dundalk vs Derry City Preview — Premier Division
Dundalk hosts Derry City in the Premier Division. Dundalk is the favorite with odds of 2.25, boasting 4 wins in their last 10 matches. Derry City, the underdog, has only won 2 times in the same period. Both teams score in 70% of Dundalk's matches, and Dundalk tends to see over 2.5 goals (60%). Derry City is defensively solid away, with 70% of their matches under 2.5 goals.
Our Dundalk vs Derry City predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Dundalk's matches see over 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, while Derry City is more reserved (30%). However, Dundalk has a strong offensive tendency (9 out of 10 matches with over 1.5 goals) and a leaky defense (80% of matches without a clean sheet). Combined with Derry City's defensive weakness away, the over 2.5 goals scenario is very likely and consistent with the two previous bets (Dundalk win and both teams to score).
1.95
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams to score
Both teams score in 70% of Dundalk's matches and 50% of Derry City's. Dundalk has kept a clean sheet only 2 times in 10 matches (80% failure), while Derry City has conceded goals in 60% of their matches. Both teams have in-form attackers with several regular scorers. This bet is consistent with a Dundalk win, as Derry City could score on the counter-attack.
1.71
Confidence
High (65 %)
Dundalk to win
Dundalk is the favorite at home with odds of 2.25. They have won 4 of their last 10 matches (40% success rate) and have a good offensive record, with 9 out of 10 matches having over 1.5 goals. Derry City is weak away, with only 2 wins in their last 10 away matches. Dundalk also has a good 'nepredpasfav' indicator (does not lose when favorite) with 4 successes out of 7. Form and home advantage favor Dundalk.
2.2
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Dundalk vs Derry City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Dundalk vs Derry City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 2 7 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 57% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 14% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 40% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gbemi Arubi | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | James Clarke |
| Daryl Horgan | 33% (3/9) | 20% (2/10) | Kevin Santos |
| Tyreke Wilson | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Dipo Akinyemi |
| Aodh Dervin | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Cameron Dummigan |
| Shane Tracey | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Barry Cotter |
| Ronan Teahan | 14% (1/7) | 10% (1/10) | Henry Rylah |
| Declan McDaid | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | James Olayinka |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Daryl Horgan | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Dipo Akinyemi |
| Tyreke Wilson | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | James Clarke |
| Gbemi Arubi | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Kevin Santos |
| Declan McDaid | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | James Olayinka |
| Shane Tracey | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cameron Dummigan |
| Aodh Dervin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Barry Cotter |
| Ronan Teahan | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Henry Rylah |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 100% |
1.5 | 90% | 80% |
2.5 | 50% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 40% |
4.5 | 0% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 20% |
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