San Lorenzo - Velez Sarsfield: our prediction
21/04/2026•00:30
San Lorenzo
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
Velez Sarsfield
-
1
-
X
-
2
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Preview — Liga Profesional Apertura
San Lorenzo hosts Velez Sarsfield in a tight Liga Profesional match. Velez is a slight favorite with bookmakers (odds 2.52) despite playing away. Recent statistics show two cautious teams, with a strong tendency for low-scoring games and draws for San Lorenzo at home.
Our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, 80% of San Lorenzo's games ended with under 2.5 goals (8/10). Velez Sarsfield shows the same statistic (8/10). Both teams have solid defenses (5 clean sheets each in 10 matches) and unprolific attacks (San Lorenzo: 3 wins, Velez: 5 wins in 10 matches). The draw tendency is strong for San Lorenzo at home (6/10). The odds indicate a tight match. All indicators point to a low-scoring game.
1.36
Confidence
Very high
San Lorenzo - Under 1.5 goals
San Lorenzo's attack is inefficient: in the last 10 matches, the team scored more than 1.5 goals in only 30% of cases (3/10). It was even kept scoreless in 20% of matches. Facing a Velez defense that has kept 5 clean sheets in 10, it is unlikely that San Lorenzo will score more than one goal. This proposal is consistent with the 'Under 2.5 goals' and 'Draw' bets, because for a draw to occur with under 2.5 total goals, San Lorenzo logically cannot score more than one goal.
1.4
Confidence
High
Draw
San Lorenzo has drawn 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10), a very high statistic reflecting its lack of offensive efficiency (only 3 wins) and its defensive solidity. At home, this trend is confirmed. Velez, although slightly more victorious (5/10), also has a strong propensity for draws (3/10) and is less performant away. The teams are close in level, the odds are tight (3.00, 2.75, 2.52). The draw scenario is very plausible in this context of mutual caution.
2.8
Confidence
High
Market signals on San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 6 1 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 75% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 30% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Auzmendi | 30% (3/10) | 44% (4/9) | Florian Monzon |
| Alexis Cuello | 11% (1/9) | 22% (2/9) | Dilan Godoy |
| Guzman Corujo | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Manuel Lanzini |
| Diego Herazo | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Roberto Garcia |
| Mathias De Ritis | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Lucas Robertone |
| Jhohan Romana | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Aaron Quiros |
| Ezequiel Herrera | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Diego Valdes |
| Manuel Insaurralde | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Tobias Andrada |
| Nicolas Tripichio | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo Auzmendi | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Florian Monzon |
| Nicolas Tripichio | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Tobias Andrada |
| Ezequiel Herrera | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Dilan Godoy |
| Manuel Insaurralde | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Diego Valdes |
| Jhohan Romana | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucas Robertone |
| Diego Herazo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Aaron Quiros |
| Alexis Cuello | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Manuel Lanzini |
| Guzman Corujo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Roberto Garcia |
| Mathias De Ritis | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 40% | 70% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
San Lorenzo
3-4-2-1CoachGustavo Alvarez
Starting XI
Substitutes
Velez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1CoachGuillermo Barros Schelotto
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | River Plate | 55%(11/20) |
| 2 |  | Independiente Rivadavia | 59%(10/17) |
| 3 |  | Belgrano | 50%(10/20) |
| 4 |  | Argentinos Juniors | 47%(9/19) |
| 5 |  | Estudiantes | 53%(9/17) |
| 6 |  | Gimnasia LP | 50%(9/18) |
| 7 |  | Rosario Central | 47%(9/19) |
| 8 |  | Boca Juniors | 47%(8/17) |
| 9 | | Velez Sarsfield | 41%(7/17) |
| 10 |  | Talleres | 41%(7/17) |
| 11 |  | Independiente | 35%(6/17) |
| 12 |  | Union | 33%(6/18) |
| 13 |  | Racing Club | 33%(6/18) |
| 14 |  | Lanus | 35%(6/17) |
| 15 |  | Sarmiento | 38%(6/16) |
| 16 |  | Instituto | 38%(6/16) |
| 17 |  | Gimnasia Mendoza | 31%(5/16) |
| 18 | | San Lorenzo | 29%(5/17) |
| 19 |  | Barracas Central | 31%(5/16) |
| 20 |  | Banfield | 31%(5/16) |
| 21 |  | Huracan | 28%(5/18) |
| 22 |  | Defensa y Justicia | 25%(4/16) |
| 23 |  | Tigre | 25%(4/16) |
| 24 |  | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 25%(4/16) |
| 25 |  | Atletico Tucuman | 19%(3/16) |
| 26 |  | Club Atletico Platense | 19%(3/16) |
| 27 |  | Newell's Old Boys | 19%(3/16) |
| 28 |  | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 6%(1/16) |
| 29 |  | Deportivo Riestra | 6%(1/16) |
| 30 |  | Aldosivi | 0%(0/16) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga Profesional Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga Profesional Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga Profesional Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Argentina. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga Profesional Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers