Olympiacos - PAOK Thessaloniki FC: our prediction
14/01/2026•17:30
Olympiacos
0:2
(0:2)
Finished
PAOK Thessaloniki FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC Preview — Cup Final Stage
Olympiacos hosts PAOK Thessaloniki FC in the Cup final stage. Data from the last 10 matches shows solid home form for Olympiacos (7 wins, 70% success rate), with a very tight defense (7 clean sheets). PAOK, on the other hand, shows a capable attack (both teams score in 70% of its matches) but a more fragile defense (only 2 clean sheets). The bookmakers' favorite is clearly Olympiacos.
Our Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC predictions
Olympiacos to Win
In its last 10 matches, Olympiacos has won 7 times (70%). At home, its favorite status is confirmed by bookmakers (odds 1.85). Its solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10) and attacking efficiency (Ayoub El Kaabi and Mehdi Taremi with 6 goals each) against a PAOK defense that has conceded in 8 of its last 10 matches, point to a home win.
2
Confidence
High
Each Team Scores at Least One Goal
PAOK has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Olympiacos, although defensively solid, has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches as well (90%). Despite the low frequency of 'Both teams to score' for Olympiacos (30%), PAOK's strong offensive tendency and Olympiacos' scoring ability suggest both could find the back of the net.
1.4
Confidence
Medium
Under 2.5 Goals in the Match
Statistics from the last 10 matches are balanced: 5 matches for each team saw over 2.5 goals. The tight defense of Olympiacos (only 3 matches with 'Both teams to score' in 10) may limit the total number of goals. However, PAOK's offensive tendency (7 BTS matches in 10) introduces uncertainty, hence medium confidence.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Olympiacos vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 2 1 | 5 4 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 75% | 40% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 78% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodinei | 40% (4/10) | 40% (4/10) | Alexander Jeremejeff |
| Ayoub El Kaabi | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Anestis Mythou |
| Gelson Martins | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Dimitrios Chatsidis |
| Christos Mouzakitis | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Andrija Zivkovic |
10% (1/10) | Magomed Ozdoev | ||
11% (1/9) | Giannis Michailidis | ||
10% (1/10) | Taison | ||
10% (1/10) | Giannis Konstantelias |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoub El Kaabi | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Alexander Jeremejeff |
| Rodinei | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Anestis Mythou |
| Christos Mouzakitis | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Taison |
| Gelson Martins | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Magomed Ozdoev |
⚽1 | Giannis Michailidis | ||
⚽1 | Giannis Konstantelias | ||
⚽1 | Dimitrios Chatsidis | ||
⚽1 | Andrija Zivkovic |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 4.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 20% |
1.5 | 10% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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