Arsenal Women - Chelsea FC Women: our prediction
24/03/2026•21:00
Arsenal Women
3:1
(2:0)
Finished
Chelsea FC Women
-
1
-
X
-
2
Arsenal Women vs Chelsea FC Women Preview — Women's Champions League Final Stage
Arsenal Women host Chelsea FC Women in a Women's Champions League Final Stage match. Arsenal are slight favourites with the bookmakers at odds of 2.05, while Chelsea are at 3.05. In their last 10 matches, Arsenal have won 8 and Chelsea 6. Statistics show a strong trend towards low-scoring games and solid defences.
Our Arsenal Women vs Chelsea FC Women predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: Arsenal had under 2.5 goals in 6/10 matches (60%) and Chelsea in 7/10 (70%). Both teams have solid defences (Arsenal: 8 clean sheets/10; Chelsea: 5/10). The most likely scenario is a tight, tactical match with few chances.
2.04
Confidence
High
Chelsea to score under 1.5 goals
Chelsea have scored under 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 10 matches (50%). Facing Arsenal's solid defence (8 clean sheets/10), it is unlikely they will score more than one goal. Arsenal have a strong tendency to limit opponents (only 1 match in 10 where both teams scored).
1.4
Confidence
High
Arsenal Women to win
Arsenal are favourites with the bookmakers (odds 2.05) and are playing at home. In their last 10 matches, they have a record of 8 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, compared to 6 wins for Chelsea. Their ability not to lose as favourites is 7/9 (78%). Home advantage and slightly better form justify this bet, although Chelsea are a top-level team.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Arsenal Women vs Chelsea FC Women
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Arsenal Women vs Chelsea FC Women Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 1 1 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 89% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 78% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 10% 90% | 40% 10% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alessia Russo | 44% (4/9) | 100% (6/6) | Samantha Kerr |
| Stina Blackstenius | 33% (3/9) | 38% (3/8) | Lauren James |
| Frida Maanum | 33% (3/9) | 25% (2/8) | Sjoeke Nuesken |
| Mariona Caldentey | 22% (2/9) | 25% (2/8) | Erin Cuthbert |
| Smilla Holmberg | 11% (1/9) | 17% (1/6) | Ellie Carpenter |
| Leah Williamson | 17% (1/6) | 20% (1/5) | Johanna Rytting Kaneryd |
| Olivia Smith | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Alyssa Thompson |
| Caitlin Foord | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Veerle Buurman |
13% (1/8) | Alexia Potter | ||
25% (1/4) | Naomi Girma |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alessia Russo | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Samantha Kerr |
| Stina Blackstenius | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Lauren James |
| Frida Maanum | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Sjoeke Nuesken |
| Smilla Holmberg | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Erin Cuthbert |
| Mariona Caldentey | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alyssa Thompson |
| Leah Williamson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Johanna Rytting Kaneryd |
| Caitlin Foord | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Veerle Buurman |
| Olivia Smith | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alexia Potter |
⚽1 | Naomi Girma | ||
⚽1 | Ellie Carpenter |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 60% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 30% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 10% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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