Rugby

Tennis

Chelsea - Arsenal: our prediction

14/01/2026•21:00

Chelsea

2:3

(0:1)

Finished

Arsenal

Chelsea vs Arsenal Preview — EFL Cup

Chelsea hosts Arsenal in the EFL Cup. Arsenal is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.20). In their last 10 matches, Arsenal has 7 wins against Chelsea's 3. Both teams score frequently and matches often exceed 2.5 goals.

Our Chelsea vs Arsenal predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Chelsea has seen 7 of its last 10 matches exceed 2.5 goals (70%), Arsenal also 7/10 (70%). Both teams show vulnerable defense (Chelsea: 2 clean sheets/10, Arsenal: 3/10) and active attack. Historical trend and recent statistics support an open match with several goals.

1.85

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Chelsea has seen both teams score in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%), Arsenal in 7/10 (70%). Defenses are unreliable (clean sheet: Chelsea 20%, Arsenal 30%). With capable attacks (top scorers: Fernandez/Pedro for Chelsea; Martinelli/Trossard for Arsenal), each team is likely to find the net.

1.72

Confidence

High

Arsenal scores over 1.5 goals

Arsenal has scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Facing a Chelsea defense that has conceded at least 2 goals in several recent encounters, and with a varied attack (Martinelli 4 goals, Trossard 3, Rice 3), the Gunners have the ability to score at least twice.

1.88

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Chelsea vs Arsenal

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Chelsea vs Arsenal Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea	Arsenal
Win	3 4 3	7 2 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	90%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	33%	70%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	70% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	50%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	33% (3/9)	30% (3/10)	Viktor Gyoekeres
Joao Pedro	25% (2/8)	25% (2/8)	Kai Havertz
Andrey Santos	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Bukayo Saka
Alejandro Garnacho	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Noni Madueke
Jorrel Hato	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Eberechi Eze
Cole Palmer	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Leandro Trossard
Tosin Adarabioyo	13% (1/8)	11% (1/9)	Gabriel Jesus
Estevao	33% (1/3)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Viktor Gyoekeres
Joao Pedro	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Kai Havertz
Andrey Santos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Bukayo Saka
Estevao	⚽1	⚽1	Eberechi Eze
Cole Palmer	⚽1	⚽1	Leandro Trossard
Tosin Adarabioyo	⚽1	⚽1	Gabriel Jesus
Alejandro Garnacho	⚽1	⚽1	Noni Madueke
Jorrel Hato	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	50%
Over corners 7.5	70%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	40%
Over corners 9.5	70%	30%
Over corners 10.5	40%	20%
Over corners 11.5	30%	20%
Over corners 12.5	30%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	50%
Over corners 4.5	50%	50%
Over corners 5.5	40%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	30%	30%
1.5	20%	20%
2.5	20%	10%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers