Newcastle United - Manchester City: our prediction
13/01/2026•21:00
Newcastle United
0:2
(0:0)
Finished
Manchester City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Newcastle United vs Manchester City Preview — EFL Cup
Newcastle United hosts Manchester City in the EFL Cup. City is the favorite with odds at 2.15, showing solid form (7 wins in the last 10 matches). Newcastle, at home, has won 5 of its last 10 matches. Statistics suggest an open match with goals.
Our Newcastle United vs Manchester City predictions
Manchester City to win
Manchester City is in great form: 7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses in the last 10 matches (70% wins). City has not lost any of its last 10 matches. Newcastle, at home, has 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in 10. City is favored by bookmakers (odds at 2.15). City's technical superiority and consistency should make the difference.
2.46
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Newcastle has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%) and Manchester City in 9 of its last 10 (90%). However, the 'Both teams to score' indicator is validated at 70% for Newcastle (7/10) and 50% for City (5/10). At home, Newcastle has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10. With the attacks present, both teams should find the back of the net.
1.44
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Newcastle has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10) and Manchester City in 60% (6/10). Both teams have a performing attack (Haaland 6 goals, Gordon/Guimaraes 4 goals). Newcastle's defense has kept only one clean sheet in 10, while City has achieved 5. A match with several goals is likely.
1.53
Confidence
High
Market signals on Newcastle United vs Manchester City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Newcastle United vs Manchester City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 7 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 88% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 25% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 70% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | 40% (4/10) | 56% (5/9) | Erling Haaland |
| Anthony Gordon | 22% (2/9) | 40% (4/10) | Jeremy Doku |
| Harvey Barnes | 20% (2/10) | 33% (3/9) | Antoine Semenyo |
| Nick Woltemade | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Omar Marmoush |
| Daniel Burn | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Marc Guehi |
| Anthony Elanga | 10% (1/10) | 14% (1/7) | Nico Gonzalez |
10% (1/10) | Rayan Cherki | ||
10% (1/10) | Savinho | ||
13% (1/8) | Nico O'Reilly |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jeremy Doku |
| Anthony Gordon | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Erling Haaland |
| Anthony Elanga | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Antoine Semenyo |
| Harvey Barnes | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Omar Marmoush |
| Daniel Burn | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nico O'Reilly |
| Nick Woltemade | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rayan Cherki |
⚽1 | Savinho | ||
⚽1 | Marc Guehi | ||
⚽1 | Nico Gonzalez |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 30% |
1.5 | 10% | 20% |
2.5 | 10% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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