Palmeiras vs Gremio — Prediction
03/04/2026•02:30
Palmeiras
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Gremio
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Palmeiras, the clear favorite at home, faces Grêmio, who are struggling away. Recent statistics show a very strong home team (8 wins/10) against an away team that finds it hard to win (0 wins/10 away). The most likely scenario is a Palmeiras victory, potentially with goals from both sides.
Our predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
The statistics are extremely favorable for this bet. In their last 10 matches, Palmeiras saw over 1.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10), and Grêmio in 100% of cases (10/10). Grêmio's offensive trend (Over 1.5 goals/match always validated) combined with Palmeiras' strength at home makes this scenario very likely.
1.24
Confidence
Very high
Palmeiras Victory
Palmeiras is in excellent form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches (80% success rate). At home, they are particularly strong. Grêmio, on the other hand, has not won any of its last 10 away matches. The odds clearly reflect this dynamic. No information on major absences was found to alter this prediction.
1.48
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
The 'Both teams score' indicator is positive at 60% for Palmeiras (6/10) and 70% for Grêmio (7/10) in their respective last 10 matches. Palmeiras has a solid but not impenetrable defense (4 clean sheets/10). Grêmio, although weak away, scores regularly (Over 0.5 goals/team at 90%). A goal from each side is a plausible scenario.
1.87
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 1 1 | 3 5 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 80% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 10% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Allan | 33% (2/6) | 50% (3/6) | Carlos Vinicius |
| Jhon Arias | 33% (2/6) | 17% (1/6) | Erick Noriega |
| Jose Lopez | 33% (2/6) | 20% (1/5) | Francis Amuzu |
| Vitor Roque | 33% (1/3) | 33% (1/3) | Marlon |
| Marlon Freitas | 17% (1/6) | 17% (1/6) | Juan Ignacio Nardoni |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Allan | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Carlos Vinicius |
| Jhon Arias | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Juan Ignacio Nardoni |
| Jose Lopez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Marlon |
| Marlon Freitas | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Francis Amuzu |
| Vitor Roque | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Erick Noriega |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 60% |
1.5 | 40% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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