Chapecoense Af vs Atletico Mg — Prediction
03/04/2026•00:00
Chapecoense AF
0:4
(0:3)
Finished
Atletico MG
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Chapecoense AF hosts Atlético MG in a Brazilian Serie A match. Atlético MG is the bookmakers' favorite with odds of 2.40, while Chapecoense AF is at 2.86. Both teams show mixed performances in their last 10 matches, with low win rates (20% for Chapecoense, 30% for Atlético). Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.
Our predictions
Chapecoense AF scores under 1.5 goals
Chapecoense AF has scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). Its attack is ineffective, with only 2 wins out of 10 and a 20% success rate. Facing Atlético MG's defense, which has kept a clean sheet in 30% of its matches (3/10), it is very likely that Chapecoense will struggle to score. No information on key absences was found, but even with a full squad, the team shows persistent offensive difficulties.
1.25
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Chapecoense AF has recorded under 2.5 goals in 70% of its matches (7/10), while Atlético MG has done the same in 70% of its matches (7/10). Both teams have unproductive attacks (Chapecoense: 2 wins, Atlético: 3 wins out of 10) and relatively solid defenses. Draws are frequent for both teams (40% for Chapecoense, 30% for Atlético). No information on major injuries was found in the provided data.
1.67
Confidence
High
Draw
Chapecoense AF has drawn in 40% of its last 10 matches (4/10), and Atlético MG in 30% (3/10). Both teams struggle to win regularly. Chapecoense, at home, has not won any of its last 10 away matches (0 wins), but its home performances could be more solid. Atlético MG, the favorite, has only a 30% success rate in its last 10 matches. The trend towards tight and low-scoring matches supports the draw scenario.
3.2
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 4 4 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 40% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Pessoa | 20% (1/5) | 33% (2/6) | Tomas Cuello |
| Walter Clar | 17% (1/6) | 17% (1/6) | Bernard |
17% (1/6) | Reinier | ||
17% (1/6) | Victor Hugo | ||
17% (1/6) | Dudu | ||
17% (1/6) | Ivan Roman |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Clar | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Tomas Cuello |
| Neto Pessoa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ivan Roman |
⚽1 | Reinier | ||
⚽1 | Dudu | ||
⚽1 | Bernard | ||
⚽1 | Victor Hugo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 86% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 71% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 57% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 43% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 43% | 40% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 50% |
1.5 | 40% | 30% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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