Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro — Prediction
04/04/2026•23:30
Sao Paulo
4:1
(2:0)
Finished
Cruzeiro
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
São Paulo hosts Cruzeiro in a Brazilian Serie A match. Bookmakers favor São Paulo (odds 2.15) against Cruzeiro (odds 3.40). In their last 10 matches, São Paulo has won 6 times (60% success rate) while Cruzeiro has won 5. Both teams score in 50% of their respective matches. The 'Over 2.5 goals' scenario has occurred in 40% of São Paulo's matches and 50% of Cruzeiro's.
Our predictions
São Paulo Win
São Paulo, at home, is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.15). In the last 10 matches, they have a win rate of 60% (6/10) compared to 50% (5/10) for Cruzeiro. São Paulo also has a better success rate as a favorite (3 wins in 3 matches where they were favored) than Cruzeiro (5 wins in 8). São Paulo's defense is solid (3 clean sheets in 10) and their attack is effective (8 times over 0.5 goals per team in 10). No information on major absences was found.
2.15
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Goals
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows a trend towards low-scoring games. São Paulo had under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches (6/10). Cruzeiro had under 2.5 goals in 50% of its matches (5/10). The 'Fewer goals per team' statistics are very high: São Paulo scored under 2.5 goals per team in 100% of its matches (10/10) and Cruzeiro in 80% (8/10). Both teams score in only 50% of their respective matches, reinforcing this scenario.
1.6
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 6 1 3 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 63% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 43% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 43% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 30% |
2nd half | 70% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 57% (4/7) | 43% (3/7) | Christian Cardoso |
| Cauly Oliveira Souza | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Neyser Villarreal |
| Sabino | 17% (1/6) | 33% (1/3) | Kaio Jorge |
| Ferreira | 14% (1/7) | 20% (1/5) | Japa |
| Luciano Neves | 14% (1/7) | 14% (1/7) | Keny Arroyo |
17% (1/6) | Matheus Pereira | ||
17% (1/6) | Kaua Moraes |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Christian Cardoso |
| Ferreira | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Neyser Villarreal |
| Cauly Oliveira Souza | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kaua Moraes |
| Luciano Neves | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matheus Pereira |
| Sabino | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Keny Arroyo |
⚽1 | Japa | ||
⚽1 | Kaio Jorge |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 60% |
1.5 | 40% | 40% |
2.5 | 40% | 10% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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