Atletico Mg vs Athletico Paranaense — Prediction
05/04/2026•22:30
Atletico MG
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Athletico Paranaense
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Atlético MG hosts Athletico Paranaense in a Brazilian Serie A match. Statistical data shows both teams have mixed performances with 4 wins each in their last 10 matches. Atlético MG plays at home and is slightly favored by bookmakers, but their attack is not very prolific. Athletico Paranaense has a more effective attack but a less solid defense. No injury information is available.
Our predictions
Atl. MG - Under 1.5 goals (per team)
Atlético MG scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). Their attack is not very efficient with only 2 matches where they scored more than 1.5 goals. At home, this trend is even more pronounced. Against a not very solid defense from Athletico Paranaense (only 1 clean sheet in 10), they might score, but most likely only one goal. The statistic is very strong and consistent.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
Athl. Paranaense - Over 0.5 goals (per team)
Athletico Paranaense scored at least one goal in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Their attack is driven by Kevin Viveros (4 goals) and other offensive players. They face an Atlético MG defense that conceded at least one goal in 60% of its matches (6/10 clean sheet 'no'). Even away, their offensive ability suggests they can find the back of the net at least once.
1.53
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, Atlético MG recorded under 2.5 goals in 70% of cases (7/10) and Athletico Paranaense in 40% of cases (4/10). Atlético MG at home scores little (only 2 times over 1.5 goals per team in 10 matches) and their defense is relatively solid (4 clean sheets). Athletico Paranaense away has a more present attack but faces a solid defense. The historical trend and recent statistics favor a low-scoring match.
1.7
Confidence
High
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 4 2 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 60% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 80% |
2nd half | 50% | 0% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Cuello | 33% (2/6) | 50% (4/8) | Kevin Viveros |
| Dudu | 17% (1/6) | 25% (2/8) | Stiven Mendoza |
| Ivan Roman | 17% (1/6) | 25% (2/8) | Julimar |
| Bernard | 17% (1/6) | 13% (1/8) | Juan Aguirre |
| Reinier | 17% (1/6) | 13% (1/8) | Luiz Gustavo |
| Victor Hugo | 17% (1/6) | 14% (1/7) | Lucas Esquivel |
13% (1/8) | Dudu |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Cuello | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Kevin Viveros |
| Victor Hugo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Stiven Mendoza |
| Ivan Roman | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Julimar |
| Reinier | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luiz Gustavo |
| Dudu | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lucas Esquivel |
| Bernard | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Aguirre |
⚽1 | Dudu |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 50% | 70% |
1.5 | 30% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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