Coritiba vs Fluminense — Prediction
05/04/2026•01:30
Coritiba
1:1
(0:0)
Finished
Fluminense
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Coritiba hosts Fluminense in a Brazilian Serie A match. Fluminense is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.25, while Coritiba is at 3.15 and the draw at 3.10. Over their last 10 matches, Fluminense shows better form (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) compared to Coritiba (4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a low number of goals.
Our predictions
Fluminense scores at least 1 goal
Fluminense has scored at least one goal in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). The team has a more efficient and varied attack than Coritiba, with several scorers (Canobbio and Hercules with 3 goals each). Facing a Coritiba defense that has conceded at least one goal in 60% of its recent matches (6/10), it is very likely that Fluminense will find the back of the net at least once.
1.29
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Over the last 10 matches, Coritiba has seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of its encounters (7/10). Fluminense shows a rate of 50% (5/10). Both teams have relatively solid defenses (4 clean sheets each in 10 matches). The 'Both Teams to Score' indicator is validated in only 40% of Coritiba's matches and 60% of Fluminense's, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
1.58
Confidence
High
Coritiba scores under 1.5 goals
Coritiba's attack is not prolific: in its last 10 matches, the team has scored under 1.5 goals in 50% of cases (5/10). It has scored over 1.5 goals in only 5 out of 10 matches. Facing Fluminense's defense (4 clean sheets in 10), it is likely that Coritiba will struggle to score more than one goal. The analysis of scorers also shows a dispersed attack (top scorer: Pedro Rocha with 2 goals in 10 matches).
1.3
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 88% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 75% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 10% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rocha | 25% (2/8) | 43% (3/7) | Hercules |
| Breno Lopes | 14% (1/7) | 75% (3/4) | Agustin Canobbio |
| Tiago | 14% (1/7) | 43% (3/7) | John Kennedy |
| Joaquin Lavega | 14% (1/7) | 33% (2/6) | Rodrigo Castillo |
| Jacy | 14% (1/7) | 17% (1/6) | Luciano Acosta |
| Lucas Ronier | 13% (1/8) | 14% (1/7) | Guilherme Arana |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Agustin Canobbio |
| Pedro Rocha | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | John Kennedy |
| Jacy | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Hercules |
| Tiago | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Rodrigo Castillo |
| Lucas Ronier | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luciano Acosta |
| Joaquin Lavega | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Guilherme Arana |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 89% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 78% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 78% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 67% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 44% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 22% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 22% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 50% |
1.5 | 60% | 30% |
2.5 | 10% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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