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Santos FC - Atletico MG: our prediction

12/04/2026•01:00

Santos FC

1:0

(0:0)

Finished

Atletico MG

Santos FC vs Atletico MG Preview — Serie A

Santos FC hosts Atlético MG in a Brazilian Serie A match. Santos is slightly favored by bookmakers with odds at 2.22, while the draw and Atlético's victory are at 3.20. Recent statistics show that Santos struggles to win as favorites (3 wins in 6 matches), while Atlético MG is more solid in this role (4 wins in 6 matches). Both teams regularly score in Santos matches (60% of recent matches), but less often for Atlético (30%).

Our Santos FC vs Atletico MG predictions

Both teams to score

Santos has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Atlético MG has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches and conceded in 6 of those 10 matches. Attack statistics show that Santos has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches, while Atlético has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches as well. With defenses that regularly concede (Santos: 7 clean sheets missed out of 10; Atlético: 6 clean sheets missed out of 10), this scenario is likely.

1.85

Confidence

High

Under 1.5 goals per team (Atlético MG)

Atlético MG has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Their attack, although regular, is rarely prolific. Facing a Santos defense that has kept a clean sheet in 3 of its last 10 matches, it is likely that Atlético will score only one goal or less. This solid statistic strongly supports this bet.

1.5

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals per match

Santos has had over 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Atlético MG has had over 2.5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). Santos matches tend to be open with a high goal average. Atlético has scored in most of its recent matches but also has a defense that concedes. The combination of Santos' home attacking strength and Atlético's offensive capability supports this bet.

2.15

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Santos FC vs Atletico MG

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Santos FC vs Atletico MG Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Santos FC	Atletico MG
Win	3 3 4	4 1 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	67%
Win by being a favorite	50%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	30% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	50%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Gabriel Barbosa	33% (3/9)	44% (4/9)	Mateo Cassierra
Neymar	33% (2/6)	30% (3/10)	Alan Minda
Gabriel Bontempo	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Maycon Barberan
Benjamin Rollheiser	22% (2/9)	25% (2/8)	Renan Lodi
Adonis Frias	20% (2/10)	11% (1/9)	Bernard
		14% (1/7)	Tomas Cuello
		13% (1/8)	Vitor Hugo
		13% (1/8)	Lyanco
		20% (1/5)	Mamady Cisse
		10% (1/10)	Everson
		10% (1/10)	Kaua Pascini

Total goals per player

	1	2
Gabriel Barbosa	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Mateo Cassierra
Benjamin Rollheiser	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Alan Minda
Adonis Frias	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Maycon Barberan
Gabriel Bontempo	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Renan Lodi
Neymar	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Lyanco
		⚽1	Kaua Pascini
		⚽1	Vitor Hugo
		⚽1	Tomas Cuello
		⚽1	Mamady Cisse
		⚽1	Bernard
		⚽1	Everson

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	70%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	80%	70%
Over corners 9.5	70%	60%
Over corners 10.5	50%	40%
Over corners 11.5	20%	30%
Over corners 12.5	20%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	40%
Over corners 3.5	60%	20%
Over corners 4.5	40%	10%
Over corners 5.5	30%	10%
Over corners 6.5	30%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	60%
1.5	60%	30%
2.5	40%	20%
3.5	40%	10%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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