Santos FC - Atletico MG: our prediction
12/04/2026•01:00
Santos FC
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Atletico MG
-
1
-
X
-
2
Santos FC vs Atletico MG Preview — Serie A
Santos FC hosts Atlético MG in a Brazilian Serie A match. Santos is slightly favored by bookmakers with odds at 2.22, while the draw and Atlético's victory are at 3.20. Recent statistics show that Santos struggles to win as favorites (3 wins in 6 matches), while Atlético MG is more solid in this role (4 wins in 6 matches). Both teams regularly score in Santos matches (60% of recent matches), but less often for Atlético (30%).
Our Santos FC vs Atletico MG predictions
Both teams to score
Santos has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Atlético MG has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches and conceded in 6 of those 10 matches. Attack statistics show that Santos has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches, while Atlético has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches as well. With defenses that regularly concede (Santos: 7 clean sheets missed out of 10; Atlético: 6 clean sheets missed out of 10), this scenario is likely.
1.85
Confidence
High
Under 1.5 goals per team (Atlético MG)
Atlético MG has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Their attack, although regular, is rarely prolific. Facing a Santos defense that has kept a clean sheet in 3 of its last 10 matches, it is likely that Atlético will score only one goal or less. This solid statistic strongly supports this bet.
1.5
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals per match
Santos has had over 2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Atlético MG has had over 2.5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). Santos matches tend to be open with a high goal average. Atlético has scored in most of its recent matches but also has a defense that concedes. The combination of Santos' home attacking strength and Atlético's offensive capability supports this bet.
2.15
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Santos FC vs Atletico MG
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Santos FC vs Atletico MG Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | 33% (3/9) | 44% (4/9) | Mateo Cassierra |
| Neymar | 33% (2/6) | 30% (3/10) | Alan Minda |
| Gabriel Bontempo | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Maycon Barberan |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 22% (2/9) | 25% (2/8) | Renan Lodi |
| Adonis Frias | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Bernard |
14% (1/7) | Tomas Cuello | ||
13% (1/8) | Vitor Hugo | ||
13% (1/8) | Lyanco | ||
20% (1/5) | Mamady Cisse | ||
10% (1/10) | Everson | ||
10% (1/10) | Kaua Pascini |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Barbosa | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Mateo Cassierra |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alan Minda |
| Adonis Frias | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Maycon Barberan |
| Gabriel Bontempo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Renan Lodi |
| Neymar | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Lyanco |
⚽1 | Kaua Pascini | ||
⚽1 | Vitor Hugo | ||
⚽1 | Tomas Cuello | ||
⚽1 | Mamady Cisse | ||
⚽1 | Bernard | ||
⚽1 | Everson |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 60% |
1.5 | 60% | 30% |
2.5 | 40% | 20% |
3.5 | 40% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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