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Internacional - Gremio: our prediction

12/04/2026•01:30

Internacional

0:0

(0:0)

Finished

Gremio

Internacional vs Gremio Preview — Serie A

The Gre-Nal, the Brazilian derby between Internacional (home) and Grêmio, promises to be tight. Internacional, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.85), has mixed form (4W, 3D, 3L in last 10). Grêmio, less effective away, shows a more consistent attack (BTTS at 60%). Statistics lean towards a match with under 2.5 goals.

Our Internacional vs Gremio predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

In the last 10 matches, 70% of Internacional's games and 50% of Grêmio's games ended with under 2.5 goals. Both defenses are solid (30% clean sheet each). The derby is traditionally tight, limiting chances. No information on major absences was found.

1.72

Confidence

High

Internacional to score under 1.5 goals

Internacional's attack is not prolific: in the last 10 matches, the team scored more than 1 goal in only 30% of cases (3/10). Against a Grêmio defense that concedes little away (30% clean sheet), it is likely that Internacional scores at most one goal.

1.25

Confidence

High

Internacional to win

Internacional is favored at home (odds 1.85) and has won 40% of its last 10 matches. However, its form is irregular (3 losses). Grêmio is weak away (0 wins in last 10 away matches according to data). Home advantage and opponent's away weakness could make the difference in a tight derby.

1.74

Confidence

Low

Market signals on Internacional vs Gremio

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Internacional vs Gremio Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Internacional	Gremio
Win	4 3 3	3 4 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	40%
Win by being a favorite	33%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	0%
Win by being an outsider	50%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	30%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Alexandro Bernabei	63% (5/8)	33% (3/9)	Carlos Vinicius
Rafael Santos Borre	33% (3/9)	30% (3/10)	Martin Braithwaite
Johan Carbonero	25% (2/8)	22% (2/9)	Gabriel Mec
Alerrandro	22% (2/9)	11% (1/9)	Cristian Pavon
Bruno Henrique	11% (1/9)	13% (1/8)	Francis Amuzu
Vitinho	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Viery
Alan Patrick	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Willian
Felix Torres	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Tete
Allex Da Silva	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Alexandro Bernabei	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Carlos Vinicius
Johan Carbonero	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Martin Braithwaite
Rafael Santos Borre	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Gabriel Mec
Alerrandro	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Francis Amuzu
Bruno Henrique	⚽1	⚽1	Cristian Pavon
Allex Da Silva	⚽1	⚽1	Willian
Vitinho	⚽1	⚽1	Viery
Alan Patrick	⚽1	⚽1	Tete
Felix Torres	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	70%
Over corners 7.5	90%	70%
Over corners 8.5	70%	60%
Over corners 9.5	70%	30%
Over corners 10.5	70%	10%
Over corners 11.5	50%	0%
Over corners 12.5	50%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	50%
Over corners 3.5	60%	50%
Over corners 4.5	40%	30%
Over corners 5.5	40%	20%
Over corners 6.5	40%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	80%
1.5	50%	60%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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