Internacional - Gremio: our prediction
12/04/2026•01:30
Internacional
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
Gremio
-
1
-
X
-
2
Internacional vs Gremio Preview — Serie A
The Gre-Nal, the Brazilian derby between Internacional (home) and Grêmio, promises to be tight. Internacional, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.85), has mixed form (4W, 3D, 3L in last 10). Grêmio, less effective away, shows a more consistent attack (BTTS at 60%). Statistics lean towards a match with under 2.5 goals.
Our Internacional vs Gremio predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, 70% of Internacional's games and 50% of Grêmio's games ended with under 2.5 goals. Both defenses are solid (30% clean sheet each). The derby is traditionally tight, limiting chances. No information on major absences was found.
1.72
Confidence
High
Internacional to score under 1.5 goals
Internacional's attack is not prolific: in the last 10 matches, the team scored more than 1 goal in only 30% of cases (3/10). Against a Grêmio defense that concedes little away (30% clean sheet), it is likely that Internacional scores at most one goal.
1.25
Confidence
High
Internacional to win
Internacional is favored at home (odds 1.85) and has won 40% of its last 10 matches. However, its form is irregular (3 losses). Grêmio is weak away (0 wins in last 10 away matches according to data). Home advantage and opponent's away weakness could make the difference in a tight derby.
1.74
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Internacional vs Gremio
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Internacional vs Gremio Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 3 4 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 86% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandro Bernabei | 63% (5/8) | 33% (3/9) | Carlos Vinicius |
| Rafael Santos Borre | 33% (3/9) | 30% (3/10) | Martin Braithwaite |
| Johan Carbonero | 25% (2/8) | 22% (2/9) | Gabriel Mec |
| Alerrandro | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Cristian Pavon |
| Bruno Henrique | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Francis Amuzu |
| Vitinho | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Viery |
| Alan Patrick | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Willian |
| Felix Torres | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Tete |
| Allex Da Silva | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandro Bernabei | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Carlos Vinicius |
| Johan Carbonero | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Martin Braithwaite |
| Rafael Santos Borre | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Gabriel Mec |
| Alerrandro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Francis Amuzu |
| Bruno Henrique | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristian Pavon |
| Allex Da Silva | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Willian |
| Vitinho | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Viery |
| Alan Patrick | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tete |
| Felix Torres | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 70% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 80% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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