Athletico Paranaense - Chapecoense AF: our prediction
12/04/2026•16:00
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
(0:0)
Finished
Chapecoense AF
-
1
-
X
-
2
Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense AF Preview — Serie A
Athletico Paranaense hosts Chapecoense AF in a Brazilian Serie A match. Athletico is the clear favorite of the bookmakers with odds at 1.50, showing solid home form (3 wins in the last 5 matches). Chapecoense, struggling away from home (0 wins in the last 5 matches), will have difficulty countering the local offensive.
Our Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense AF predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches support this scenario. Athletico Paranaense had under 2.5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). Chapecoense AF, even more defensive/less offensive away, recorded under 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Furthermore, Chapecoense rarely scores more than 0.5 goals per match away (5 times in 10). A narrow Athletico victory (e.g., 2-0, 1-0) is a likely scenario, compatible with the home win prediction.
1.95
Confidence
High
Athletico Paranaense Victory
Athletico Paranaense is the clear favorite (odds 1.50). In the last 10 matches, they have won 3 times (30%) and lost only twice as favorites. At home, in the last 5 matches where they were favorites, they won 3 times (60%). Chapecoense AF has poor away performance (0 wins in the last 5 matches as outsiders) and a defense that often concedes (only 3 clean sheets in 10 matches). Athletico's offensive superiority (8 out of 10 matches with over 1.5 goals per match) should make the difference.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense AF
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense AF Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 2 5 | 2 3 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 100% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 70% | 30% |
2nd half | 10% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Viveros | 56% (5/9) | 29% (2/7) | Yannick Bolasie |
| Stiven Mendoza | 33% (3/9) | 20% (2/10) | Marcinho |
| Luiz Gustavo | 20% (1/5) | 13% (1/8) | Joao Paulo |
| Lucas Esquivel | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Enio |
| Jadson | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Neto Pessoa |
13% (1/8) | Rafael Carvalheira |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Viveros | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽2 | Yannick Bolasie |
| Stiven Mendoza | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Marcinho |
| Lucas Esquivel | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Enio |
| Luiz Gustavo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rafael Carvalheira |
| Jadson | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Neto Pessoa |
⚽1 | Joao Paulo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 89% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 78% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 44% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 33% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 33% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 60% |
1.5 | 60% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Athletico Paranaense
4-3-3CoachOdair Hellmann
Starting XI
Substitutes
Chapecoense AF
4-3-3CoachFabio Matias
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Palmeiras | 67%(12/18) |
| 2 |  | Flamengo | 56%(10/18) |
| 3 |  | Fluminense | 50%(9/18) |
| 4 |  | Red Bull Bragantino | 50%(9/18) |
| 5 | | Athletico Paranaense | 50%(9/18) |
| 6 |  | Coritiba | 39%(7/18) |
| 7 |  | Atletico MG | 39%(7/18) |
| 8 |  | Bahia | 39%(7/18) |
| 9 |  | Sao Paulo | 39%(7/18) |
| 10 |  | Botafogo RJ | 33%(6/18) |
| 11 |  | Vitoria | 33%(6/18) |
| 12 |  | Corinthians | 33%(6/18) |
| 13 |  | Cruzeiro | 33%(6/18) |
| 14 |  | Santos FC | 28%(5/18) |
| 15 |  | Gremio | 28%(5/18) |
| 16 |  | Internacional | 28%(5/18) |
| 17 |  | Vasco da Gama | 28%(5/18) |
| 18 |  | Remo | 22%(4/18) |
| 19 |  | Mirassol | 22%(4/18) |
| 20 | | Chapecoense AF | 6%(1/18) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Serie A
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Serie A. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Serie A est l'une des compétitions majeures de Brazil. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
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- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Serie A, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
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- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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