Vitoria - Sao Paulo: our prediction
11/04/2026•21:30
Vitoria
2:0
(1:0)
Finished
Sao Paulo
-
1
-
X
-
2
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Preview — Serie A
Vitória hosts São Paulo in the Brazilian Serie A. São Paulo is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.3, against 3.1 for Vitória and the draw. Over their last 10 matches, São Paulo shows better form (6 wins against 4 for Vitória). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a solid São Paulo defense away from home.
Our Vitoria vs Sao Paulo predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows Vitória had under 2.5 goals in 5/10 cases (50%) and São Paulo in 6/10 (60%). São Paulo, the favorite, has a solid away defense (3 clean sheets in 10). Vitória, at home, scores but struggles to achieve high scores. The probability of a match under 3 goals is strong.
1.5
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Vitória has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). São Paulo, in 5/10 (50%). Vitória, at home, scored in 8/10 and conceded in 8/10. São Paulo, away, scored in 8/10 but also conceded in 7/10. Both teams have functioning attacks, but defenses can fail. The absence of information on major injuries reinforces this scenario.
2
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Over the last 10 matches, Vitória has drawn 2 times (20%) and São Paulo 1 (10%). However, the odds (3.1 for the draw) and the match dynamics (São Paulo favorite but away, Vitória resilient at home) could lead to a points share. São Paulo does not lose when favorite (3/3 in recent relevant matches), but Vitória at home can be tough. It's a value bet, but with moderate confidence.
2.92
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 57% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 43% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 43% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 10% |
2nd half | 30% | 80% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rene | 60% (3/5) | 50% (3/6) | Luciano Neves |
| Diego Tarzia | 20% (1/5) | 22% (2/9) | Artur Guimaraes |
| Luan Candido | 25% (1/4) | 14% (1/7) | Matheus Doria |
| Renato Kayzer | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Ferreira |
| Erick Serafim | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Gonzalo Tapia |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rene | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Luciano Neves |
| Erick Serafim | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Artur Guimaraes |
| Renato Kayzer | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matheus Doria |
| Diego Tarzia | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ferreira |
| Luan Candido | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gonzalo Tapia |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 60% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 70% |
1.5 | 50% | 40% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Vitoria
4-2-3-1CoachJair Ventura
Starting XI
Substitutes
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1CoachRoger Machado
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Palmeiras | 67%(12/18) |
| 2 |  | Flamengo | 56%(10/18) |
| 3 |  | Fluminense | 50%(9/18) |
| 4 |  | Red Bull Bragantino | 50%(9/18) |
| 5 |  | Athletico Paranaense | 50%(9/18) |
| 6 |  | Coritiba | 39%(7/18) |
| 7 |  | Atletico MG | 39%(7/18) |
| 8 |  | Bahia | 39%(7/18) |
| 9 | | Sao Paulo | 39%(7/18) |
| 10 |  | Botafogo RJ | 33%(6/18) |
| 11 | | Vitoria | 33%(6/18) |
| 12 |  | Corinthians | 33%(6/18) |
| 13 |  | Cruzeiro | 33%(6/18) |
| 14 |  | Santos FC | 28%(5/18) |
| 15 |  | Gremio | 28%(5/18) |
| 16 |  | Internacional | 28%(5/18) |
| 17 |  | Vasco da Gama | 28%(5/18) |
| 18 |  | Remo | 22%(4/18) |
| 19 |  | Mirassol | 22%(4/18) |
| 20 |  | Chapecoense AF | 6%(1/18) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Serie A
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Serie A. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Serie A est l'une des compétitions majeures de Brazil. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Serie A, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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