Independiente Medellin - Liverpool FC: our prediction
25/02/2026•01:30
Independiente Medellin
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
Liverpool FC
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1
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X
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2
Independiente Medellin vs Liverpool FC Preview — Copa Libertadores Qualification
Independiente Medellin hosts Liverpool FC (Uruguay) in Copa Libertadores qualification. Medellin is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.4) but shows disappointing recent form with 6 defeats in the last 10 matches. Liverpool FC, away, shows a more regular attack. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with few goals.
Our Independiente Medellin vs Liverpool FC predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a trend towards low-scoring games. Medellin had under 2.5 goals in 4/10 matches, Liverpool in 5/10. Both teams have recurring offensive difficulties (Medellin: 1 win in 10, Liverpool: 3/10). The pressure of qualification and Medellin's disappointing form favor a cautious match.
1.74
Confidence
High
Independiente Medellin - Under 1.5 goals
Medellin's attack is in great difficulty: only 1 win in the last 10 matches and low scoring. The 'Under 1.5 goals (per team)' indicator was validated in 7/10 of their recent matches. Even as favorite at home, their lack of confidence and offensive efficiency makes it unlikely they will score more than one goal.
1.4
Confidence
High
Draw
The high draw odds (4.2) reflect an underestimated scenario. Medellin, although favorite, is in very poor form (6 defeats/10). Liverpool has not won away in its last 10 away matches (0 wins). Both teams drew in 3/10 of their recent matches. A balanced and unoffensive match can easily end in a draw.
4
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Independiente Medellin vs Liverpool FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Independiente Medellin vs Liverpool FC Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 4 4 | 3 3 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 63% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 25% | 38% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fydriszewski | 75% (3/4) | ||
| Diego Moreno | 50% (1/2) | ||
| Yony Gonzalez | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Baldomero Perlaza | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Alexis Serna | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fydriszewski | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Federico Martinez |
| Alexis Serna | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ruben Bentancourt |
| Yony Gonzalez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Facundo Barcelo |
| Baldomero Perlaza | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Martin Rabunal |
| Diego Moreno | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ramiro Degregorio |
⚽1 | Diego Romero |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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