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Atletico Nacional - Millonarios: our prediction

05/03/2026•01:30

Atletico Nacional

1:3

(1:2)

Finished

Millonarios

Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Preview — Copa Sudamericana Qualification

Atlético Nacional hosts Millonarios in Copa Sudamericana qualification. Nacional is the favorite with odds of 1.66, showing solid home form (6 wins in last 10 matches). Millonarios, struggling away, has a capable attack but a vulnerable defense. The match could see goals from both sides.

Our Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios predictions

Atlético Nacional Win

Atlético Nacional is clearly the favorite (odds 1.66) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, they have achieved 6 wins (60% success rate) against only 3 defeats. Their 'nepredpasfav' indicator shows they don't often lose as favorites (5/7 matches). Millonarios, on the other hand, is very weak away (0 wins in last 10 away matches according to textual data). Nacional's home form and Millonarios' away struggles support this bet.

1.56

Confidence

High

Both Teams to Score

The 'bts' indicator shows that Millonarios has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Atlético Nacional has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches ('over05' indicator at 90%). However, Nacional has kept only 4 clean sheets out of 10, and Millonarios only 3. Textual data confirms that the 'Both teams score' bet has been successful 4 times for Nacional (40%) and 7 times for Millonarios (70%) in the last 10 matches. Millonarios' strong offensive tendency and Nacional's scoring ability, combined with sometimes leaky defenses, make this scenario likely.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals in the Match

The offensive statistics of both teams support the possibility of a match with over 2 goals. The 'over25' indicator is 60% for Atlético Nacional (6/10) and 70% for Millonarios (7/10) in their respective last 10 matches. Textual data confirms these trends. Nacional has scored at least one goal in 90% of its recent matches, Millonarios in 80%. With the likelihood of both teams scoring and Nacional's home advantage, a scoreline like 2-1 or 2-2 is conceivable, thus validating the 'over 2.5' bet.

2.2

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Atletico Nacional	Millonarios
Win	6 1 3	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	63%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	0%
Win by being a favorite	63%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	0%
Win by being an outsider	50%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	70% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	40%
2nd half	60%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		75% (3/4)	Rodrigo Contreras
		50% (2/4)	Leonardo Castro
		25% (1/4)	David Silva
		25% (1/4)	Jorge Hurtado
		50% (1/2)	Beckham Castro

Total goals per player

	1	2
Andres Sarmiento	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Rodrigo Contreras
Alfredo Morelos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Leonardo Castro
Juan Rengifo	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Beckham Castro
Edwin Cardona	⚽⚽2	⚽1	David Silva
Simon Garcia	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Jorge Hurtado
Andres Felipe Roman	⚽⚽2
Marlos Moreno	⚽1
Cristian Arango	⚽1
Jorman Campuzano	⚽1
Mateus Uribe	⚽1
Eduard Bello	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	0%
Over corners 7.5	100%	0%
Over corners 8.5	100%	0%
Over corners 9.5	50%	0%
Over corners 10.5	50%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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