Xamax - Aarau: our prediction
01/05/2026•20:15
Xamax
1:3
(0:1)
Finished
Aarau
-
1
-
X
-
2
Xamax vs Aarau Preview — Challenge League
Xamax hosts Aarau in a Challenge League match. Aarau is the favorite with odds of 1.56, having won 6 of their last 10 matches. Xamax, on the other hand, has only won 3 times in the same period and has not won any of their last 10 away matches. Both teams score in 70% of Xamax's matches and 50% of Aarau's. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 70% of Xamax's matches and 60% of Aarau's.
Our Xamax vs Aarau predictions
Both teams score
Both teams score in 70% of Xamax's matches and 50% of Aarau's. Xamax has only kept a clean sheet 2 times out of 10, while Aarau has done so 5 times. However, Aarau's offensive trend (6 wins) and the fact that Xamax often scores at home (70% BTS) suggest that both teams should find the net. Additionally, Xamax has conceded goals in 80% of its matches (cleansheetno at 80%).
1.44
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 goals
Statistics show that over 2.5 goals have been scored in 70% of Xamax's matches and 60% of Aarau's. Additionally, both teams score in 70% of Xamax's matches, suggesting an open game with chances on both sides. Aarau's offensive trend (6 wins) and Xamax's defensive weakness (only 2 clean sheets in 10) reinforce this probability.
1.36
Confidence
High (65 %)
Aarau victory
Aarau is clearly the favorite with odds of 1.56. They have won 6 of their last 10 matches, while Xamax has only won 3. Furthermore, Xamax has not won any of their last 10 away matches. The win as favorite statistics (winfav) show that Aarau has won 6 times out of 10 as a favorite, while Xamax has only won 3 times out of 5. Current form and home advantage are not enough for Xamax to turn the tide.
1.54
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Xamax vs Aarau
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Xamax vs Aarau Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 60% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (5/5) | Elias Filet | ||
100% (3/3) | Daniel Afriyie | ||
100% (2/2) | Shkelqim Vladi | ||
100% (2/2) | Leon Frokaj | ||
100% (2/2) | David Acquah | ||
100% (2/2) | Linus Obexer | ||
50% (1/2) | Olivier Jaeckle |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Shkelqim Demhasaj | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Elias Filet |
| Jesse Hautier | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Daniel Afriyie |
| Koro Kone | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Linus Obexer |
| Liridon Mulaj | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Shkelqim Vladi |
| Diogo Carraco | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Leon Frokaj |
| Lavdrim Hajrulahu | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | David Acquah |
| Salim Ben Seghir | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Olivier Jaeckle |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 67% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 67% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 67% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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