Rugby

Tennis

Metz - Montpellier: our prediction

11/01/2026•18:00

Metz

0:4

(0:2)

Finished

Montpellier

Metz vs Montpellier Preview — Coupe de France

Metz hosts Montpellier in the French Cup. The Grenats, bookmakers' favorites, show mixed recent form (4W, 1D, 5L in 10 matches) but an often effective attack (goals in 9/10 matches). Montpellier, more solid away, presents a reliable defense (5 clean sheets in 10). A tight game with offensive action is expected.

Our Metz vs Montpellier predictions

Metz scores over 0,5 goals

In the last 10 matches, Metz has scored at least one goal in 90% of cases (9/10). At home and favored, its attack (led by Hein, Tsitaishvili) should find the net against a Montpellier defense sometimes exposed away. No major attacking absences reported.

1.2

Confidence

High

Under 2,5 goals in the match

Recent statistics lean towards a low-scoring game. Metz has under 2,5 goals in 40% of its matches (4/10), but Montpellier presents a very defensive profile away with 90% of its matches under 2,5 goals (9/10). The visitors' defensive solidity and the cup stakes could limit the number of goals.

Confidence

High

Montpellier scores under 1,5 goals

Montpellier has scored under 1,5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Away, its attack (Savanier, Mendy) can be less effective. Against a Metz defense that has kept 3 clean sheets in 10, the visitors may struggle to score more than one goal. No information on potential key absences was found.

1.3

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Metz vs Montpellier

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Metz vs Montpellier Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Metz	Montpellier
Win	4 1 5	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	0%
Win by being a favorite	100%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	29%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	14%	0%
Win by being an outsider	14%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	30% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	60%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Giorgi Kvilitaia	25% (2/8)	33% (3/9)	Alexandre Mendy
Koffi Kouao	13% (1/8)	25% (2/8)	Nathanael Mbuku
Giorgi Abuashvili	13% (1/8)	20% (2/10)	Enzo Molebe
Giorgi Tsitaishvili	13% (1/8)	20% (2/10)	Nicolas Pays
Jessy Deminguet	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Theo Chennahi
Gauthier Hein	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Theo Sainte-Luce
Nathan Mbala	13% (1/8)	14% (1/7)	Axel Gueguin
Jahyann Pandore	20% (1/5)	11% (1/9)	Julien Laporte

Total goals per player

	1	2
Gauthier Hein	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Alexandre Mendy
Giorgi Kvilitaia	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Enzo Molebe
Nathan Mbala	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Nathanael Mbuku
Giorgi Abuashvili	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Nicolas Pays
Giorgi Tsitaishvili	⚽1	⚽1	Julien Laporte
Koffi Kouao	⚽1	⚽1	Axel Gueguin
Jahyann Pandore	⚽1	⚽1	Theo Sainte-Luce
Jessy Deminguet	⚽1	⚽1	Theo Chennahi

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	100%
Over corners 7.5	80%	100%
Over corners 8.5	40%	100%
Over corners 9.5	20%	80%
Over corners 10.5	20%	50%
Over corners 11.5	20%	40%
Over corners 12.5	20%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	70%
Over corners 3.5	60%	60%
Over corners 4.5	40%	50%
Over corners 5.5	30%	40%
Over corners 6.5	10%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	10%
1.5	10%	0%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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