Metz - Montpellier: our prediction
11/01/2026•18:00
Metz
0:4
(0:2)
Finished
Montpellier
-
1
-
X
-
2
Metz vs Montpellier Preview — Coupe de France
Metz hosts Montpellier in the French Cup. The Grenats, bookmakers' favorites, show mixed recent form (4W, 1D, 5L in 10 matches) but an often effective attack (goals in 9/10 matches). Montpellier, more solid away, presents a reliable defense (5 clean sheets in 10). A tight game with offensive action is expected.
Our Metz vs Montpellier predictions
Metz scores over 0,5 goals
In the last 10 matches, Metz has scored at least one goal in 90% of cases (9/10). At home and favored, its attack (led by Hein, Tsitaishvili) should find the net against a Montpellier defense sometimes exposed away. No major attacking absences reported.
1.2
Confidence
High
Under 2,5 goals in the match
Recent statistics lean towards a low-scoring game. Metz has under 2,5 goals in 40% of its matches (4/10), but Montpellier presents a very defensive profile away with 90% of its matches under 2,5 goals (9/10). The visitors' defensive solidity and the cup stakes could limit the number of goals.
2
Confidence
High
Montpellier scores under 1,5 goals
Montpellier has scored under 1,5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Away, its attack (Savanier, Mendy) can be less effective. Against a Metz defense that has kept 3 clean sheets in 10, the visitors may struggle to score more than one goal. No information on potential key absences was found.
1.3
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Metz vs Montpellier
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Metz vs Montpellier Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 78% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 56% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 29% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 14% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgi Kvilitaia | 25% (2/8) | 33% (3/9) | Alexandre Mendy |
| Koffi Kouao | 13% (1/8) | 25% (2/8) | Nathanael Mbuku |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Enzo Molebe |
| Giorgi Tsitaishvili | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Nicolas Pays |
| Jessy Deminguet | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Theo Chennahi |
| Gauthier Hein | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Theo Sainte-Luce |
| Nathan Mbala | 13% (1/8) | 14% (1/7) | Axel Gueguin |
| Jahyann Pandore | 20% (1/5) | 11% (1/9) | Julien Laporte |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gauthier Hein | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alexandre Mendy |
| Giorgi Kvilitaia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Enzo Molebe |
| Nathan Mbala | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Nathanael Mbuku |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Nicolas Pays |
| Giorgi Tsitaishvili | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Julien Laporte |
| Koffi Kouao | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Axel Gueguin |
| Jahyann Pandore | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Theo Sainte-Luce |
| Jessy Deminguet | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Theo Chennahi |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 100% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 10% |
1.5 | 10% | 0% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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